Nottingham Forest vs Durham – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
29/03/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WSL 2 - Round 19
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomWSL 2

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.660.70
Ball possession
59%41%
Total shots
147
Shots on target
54
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
40
Passes
84% (434/517)75% (272/361)
Yellow cards
21
Expected goals (xG)
1.660.70
xG on target (xGOT)
2.470.78
Total shots
147
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
63
Blocked shots
30
Shots inside the box
105
Shots outside the box
42
Hit the woodwork
01
Headed goals
01
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
40
Touches in opposition box
2812
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
42
Free kicks
613
Passes
84% (434/517)75% (272/361)
Long passes
43% (19/44)37% (25/68)
Passes in final third
66% (93/140)59% (54/92)
Crosses
8% (1/13)57% (4/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.900.76
Throw ins
1624
Fouls
136
Tackles
64% (7/11)54% (14/26)
Duels won
3954
Clearances
1728
Interceptions
712
Errors leading to shot
21
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
33
xGOT faced
0.782.47
Goals prevented
-0.220.47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 14', 1 - 0, Omewa J. ,
  • 20', 2 - 0, Boye-Hlorkah C. ,
  • 27', Stapleton J. , Smith K. ,
  • 30', 2 - 1, Agg L. , Ayre G. (A),
  • 39', Agg L. , Collinson G. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 58', Toland T. , Stobbs A. ,
  • 60', Omewa J. 🟨,
  • 64', Omewa J. , Claypole A. ,
  • 75', Collinson G. , Speckmaier M. ,
  • 87', Kiernan L. , Rose D. ,
  • 87', Boye-Hlorkah C. , Wellings C. ,
  • 87', Rowe R. , Almqvist T. ,
  • 90', Watson L. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Brougham G. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Nottingham Forest
62.1%
Draw
21.8%
Durham
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.9% 21.5% 15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6% 16.6% 20.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nottingham Forest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Durham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (-13.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nottingham Forest that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Durham than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • Nottingham Forest - Durham Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.46
    (1.45)
    4.16
    (4.25)
    5.61
    (5.82)
    10.4%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 8 and 10)
    • The current form of both teams is below expectations.
    • In this match, Nottingham is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nottingham won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nottingham Forest - Durham were as follows:
    12.10.2025 Durham - Nottingham Forest 3:0
    Latest results of Nottingham Forest
    Latest results of Durham
    22.03.2026 Durham - Southampton 0:0
    15.03.2026 Ipswich Town - Durham 2:1
    20.02.2026 Durham - Sunderland 2:3
    15.02.2026 Charlton Athletic - Durham 4:2