Result
0:2
17/10/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Kigali 2, clay - Quarter-finals
Chances of winning
Marc Van Der Merwe
22.2% | Corentin Denolly
77.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marc Van Der Merwe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marc Van Der Merwe's form might have worsened.Corentin Denolly has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Corentin Denolly's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marc Van Der Merwe than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marc Van Der Merwe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corentin Denolly than the current prediction. (-7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Corentin Denolly, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Marc Van Der Merwe - Corentin Denolly Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.23 ↑
(2.99) |
|
1.2 ↓
(1.37) |
6.8%
(6.4%) | |
Preview Facts
- Van Der Merwe is ranked ATP: 1085. Denolly is ranked ATP: 380.
- Van Der Merwe is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Denolly is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Van Der Merwe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Denolly is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Van Der Merwe won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Marc Van Der Merwe won against Corentin Denolly?
Marc Van Der Merwe has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Corentin Denolly won against Marc Van Der Merwe?
Corentin Denolly has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Marc Van Der Merwe - Corentin Denolly were as follows:
09.10.2025
Marc Van Der Merwe
-
Corentin Denolly
0:2
Latest results of Marc Van Der Merwe
Latest results of Corentin Denolly
Draw
20251/16-finals| 1 | Houkes M. (1) | Garcia Mestre J. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Serazhetdinov R. | Ambarzumjan E. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Van Der Meerschen M. | Suresh D. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Ujvary M. | Steiner M. (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Raynel A. (4) | Andrzejczak M. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Van Herck L. | Homberg M. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Bulus C. | Dinev D. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Niyigena E. | Alujas R. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Vankan M. (8) | Lalami Laaroussi Y. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Warik C. | Van Der Merwe M. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Ishimwe C. | Beckles D. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Motta A. | Denolly C. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Dlimi Y. (5) | Bataljin L. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Eqbal I. | Yam C. | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Jozwicki P. | Vishal Balsekar A. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | David M. R. | Bax F. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Houkes M. (1) | Ambarzumjan E. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Van Der Meerschen M. | Ujvary M. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Raynel A. (4) | Homberg M. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Dinev D. | Alujas R. (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Vankan M. (8) | Van Der Merwe M. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Beckles D. | Denolly C. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Dlimi Y. (5) | Eqbal I. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Vishal Balsekar A. | Bax F. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Houkes M. (1) | Van Der Meerschen M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Raynel A. (4) | Dinev D. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Van Der Merwe M. | Denolly C. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Dlimi Y. (WO.) (5) | Bax F. (2) | |
Semi-finals| 1 | Houkes M. (1) | Dinev D. | |
| 2 | Denolly C. (3) | Dlimi Y. (5) | |
Final
