Southend United vs Morecambe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:1
14/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • National League - Round 33
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Ball possession
59%41%
Total shots
155
Shots on target
112
Corner kicks
93
Yellow cards
11
Total shots
155
Shots on target
112
Shots off target
43
Corner kicks
93

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 22', 1 - 0, Scott-Morriss G. , Boyes H. (A),
  • 32', 2 - 0, Boyes H. ,
  • 44', Azeez M. 🟨,
  • 44', Boyes H. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 53', 3 - 0, Dallas A. , Walker J. (A),
  • 58', 3 - 1, Sangare M. ,
  • 61', Thomas G. , Edwards G. ,
  • 61', Sangare M. , Jameson K. ,
  • 62', Thomas G. , Edwards G. ,
  • 62', 4 - 1, Walker J. ,
  • 76', Walker J. , Kendall C. ,
  • 76', Dallas A. , Hopper T. ,
  • 76', Miley C. , Morton ,
  • 80', Dean H. , Lewis P. ,
  • 80', Songo'o Y. , Tollitt B. ,
  • 85', Chambers-Parillon L. , Austin S. ,
  • 85', Boyes H. , Bridge J. ,
  • 90+7', 5 - 1, Hopper T. ,

Chances of winning


Southend United
67.6%
Draw
18.7%
Morecambe
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.1% 18.4% 11.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.5% 17.5% 11%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Southend United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Morecambe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southend United than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Southend United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • Southend United - Morecambe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.37
    (1.31)
    4.97
    (5.01)
    6.78
    (8.04)
    7.9%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Southend United - Morecambe?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1 - Morecambe (2.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Morecambe (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • EH -2 - Morecambe (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Morecambe (2.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Morecambe (4.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Morecambe (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 8 and 23 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Southend won 1.
    • Southend has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Morecambe's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Morecambe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Southend has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Southend is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Southend won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Southend won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.5:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Southend United - Morecambe were as follows:
    18.10.2025 Morecambe - Southend United 0:3
    Latest results of Southend United
    Latest results of Morecambe
    10.02.2026 Morecambe - Tamworth 2:2
    07.02.2026 Morecambe - Truro City 1:2
    03.02.2026 Altrincham - Morecambe 1:1
    24.01.2026 Morecambe - Solihull Moors 0:2
    21.01.2026 Halifax Town - Morecambe 1:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Rochdale (2)Bye
    2Scunthorpe (5)Southend (6)1 : 0
    3Carlisle (3)Bye
    4Boreham Wood (4)Forest Green (7)1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Rochdale (2)Scunthorpe (5)
    2Carlisle (3)Boreham Wood (4)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2