Result
1:2
11/10/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Roanne, hard - Semi-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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 France | beIN Sports MAX 4 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 57% | 53% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 69% (46/67) | 79% (33/42) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 46% (23/50) | 58% (22/38) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 84% (16/19) | 83% (5/6) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 21% (9/42) | 34% (23/67) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 42% (16/38) | 54% (27/50) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 17% (1/6) | 16% (3/19) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 58% (67/116) | 69% (55/80) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 31% (25/80) | 42% (49/116) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 47% (92/196) | 53% (104/196) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 92% (12/13) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 8% (1/13) | 21% (3/14) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 44% (12/27) | 56% (15/27) |
Chances of winning
Matej Dodig
29.4% | Hugo Gaston
70.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Matej Dodig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matej Dodig's form might have worsened.Hugo Gaston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hugo Gaston's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matej Dodig than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matej Dodig, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (-7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hugo Gaston, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Matej Dodig - Hugo Gaston Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.15 ↑
(2.3) |
|
1.34 ↓
(1.54) |
6.3%
(8.7%) | |
What is the prediction for Matej Dodig - Hugo Gaston?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Dodig will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Gaston will win (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dodig: 19% – 81%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Dodig (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Gaston (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Dodig is ranked ATP: 278. Gaston is ranked ATP: 101.
- Both players have been playing unpredictably.
- Dodig may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Gaston is seen as the favorite.
- Recently, the players have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Matej Dodig won against Hugo Gaston?
Matej Dodig has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hugo Gaston won against Matej Dodig?
Hugo Gaston has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Matej Dodig - Hugo Gaston were as follows:
Latest results of Matej Dodig
Latest results of Hugo Gaston
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Fearnley J. (1) | van Assche L. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Stricker D. (Q) | Rodesch C. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Dodig M. (NG) | Eubanks C. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Gueymard Wayenburg S. | Passaro F. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Misolic F. (3) | Bernet H. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Sachko V. | Budkov Kjaer N. | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Gojo B. (Alt) | Chidekh C. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Durasovic V. (Q) | Gaston H. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Carreno-Busta P. (6) | Karol M. (LL) | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Galarneau A. | Martineau M. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Brunold M. (Q) | Engel J. (Alt) | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Sakellaridis S. (Q) | Struff J-L. (4) | 2 : 1 |
| 13 | Blockx A. (7) | Sels J. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Paris T. (WC) | Virtanen O. | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Glinka D. (Q) | Hemery C. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Added D. (WC) | Thompson J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Fearnley J. (1) | Stricker D. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Dodig M. | Passaro F. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Bernet H. | Budkov Kjaer N. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Gojo B. | Gaston H. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Karol M. | Martineau M. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Brunold M. | Sakellaridis S. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Blockx A. (7) | Virtanen O. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Hemery C. | Thompson J. (RET.) (2) | 0 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Stricker D. (RET.) | Dodig M. | 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Budkov Kjaer N. | Gaston H. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Martineau M. | Brunold M. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Virtanen O. | Hemery C. | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Dodig M. | Gaston H. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Martineau M. | Virtanen O. | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Gaston H. (5) | Virtanen O. | 1 : 2 |
