Result
1:0
21/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 23
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 24', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 90+1', 🟥,
- 90+3', 🟥,
Chances of winning
San Marcial
61.1% | Draw
23% | Peña Balsamaiso
15.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Marcial has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Peña Balsamaiso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Marcial than the current prediction. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peña Balsamaiso than the current prediction. (+1%)
San Marcial - Peña Balsamaiso Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.5 ↑
(1.45) |
3.99 ↓
(4.15) |
5.75 ↓
(5.86) |
9.1%
(10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
- Recent performances by San Marcial have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Peña Balsamaiso is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, San Marcial is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, San Marcial won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has San Marcial won against Peña Balsamaiso?
San Marcial has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Peña Balsamaiso won against San Marcial?
Peña Balsamaiso has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Marcial - Peña Balsamaiso were as follows:
12.10.2025
Peña Balsamaiso
-
San Marcial
0:0
Latest results of San Marcial
Latest results of Peña Balsamaiso
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | UD Logrones B | 33 | 25 | 8 | 0 | 94:22 | 72 | 83 |
| 2 | Varea | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 51:24 | 27 | 73 |
| 3 | Arnedo | 33 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 71:26 | 45 | 69 |
| 4 | Calahorra | 33 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 82:22 | 60 | 62 |
| 5 | Oyonesa | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 53:41 | 12 | 58 |
| 6 | Anguiano | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 47:36 | 11 | 57 |
| 7 | Haro Deportivo | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 54:45 | 9 | 51 |
| 8 | Agoncillo | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 58:47 | 11 | 47 |
| 9 | Vianes | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37:50 | -13 | 39 |
| 10 | San Marcial | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 39:57 | -18 | 39 |
| 11 | Berceo | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 41:48 | -7 | 39 |
| 12 | Yague | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 44:48 | -4 | 39 |
| 13 | CDFC Calzada | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 37:54 | -17 | 35 |
| 14 | Pradejon | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 29:46 | -17 | 35 |
| 15 | Comillas | 33 | 10 | 5 | 18 | 31:58 | -27 | 35 |
| 16 | Villegas | 33 | 7 | 7 | 19 | 36:65 | -29 | 28 |
| 17 | Autol | 33 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 18:79 | -61 | 15 |
| 18 | Pena Balsamaiso | 33 | 0 | 11 | 22 | 27:81 | -54 | 11 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
