Alexander Donski vs Matthew Donald – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Olbia Challenger Men 2025 Alexander Donski - Matthew Donald
Result
1:2
12/10/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Olbia - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
113
Double Faults
60
1st Serve Percentage
64%73%
1st Serve Points Won
67% (39/58)65% (39/60)
2nd Serve Points Won
48% (16/33)68% (15/22)
Break Points Saved
60% (6/10)71% (5/7)
1st Return Points Won
37% (22/60)34% (20/58)
2nd Return Points Won
32% (7/22)52% (17/33)
Break Points Converted
29% (2/7)40% (4/10)
Service Points Won
59% (54/91)66% (54/82)
Return Points Won
34% (28/82)41% (37/91)
Total Points Won
47% (82/173)53% (91/173)
Last 10 Balls
28
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
71% (10/14)85% (11/13)
Return Games Won
15% (2/13)29% (4/14)
Total Games Won
44% (12/27)56% (15/27)

Chances of winning


Alexander Donski
52.7%
Matthew Donald
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.2% 46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2% 47.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alexander Donski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Matthew Donald has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Donski than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matthew Donald than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • Alexander Donski - Matthew Donald Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.76
    (1.74)

    1.96
    (1.98)
    7.6%
    (8%)
    Preview Facts
    • Donski is ranked ATP: 717. Donald is ranked ATP: 625.
    • Recent form of Donski has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Donald has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Donski may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Alexander Donski
    Latest results of Matthew Donald
    15.09.2025 Matthew Donald - Lukas Pokorny Donald M. walkover