Lea Ma vs Amelia Rajecki – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Tampico Challenger Women Lea Ma - Amelia Rajecki
Result
2:0
14/10/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Tampico, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
88
Double Faults
014
1st Serve Percentage
66%43%
1st Serve Points Won
70% (33/47)73% (22/30)
2nd Serve Points Won
63% (15/24)51% (20/39)
Break Points Saved
100% (1/1)25% (1/4)
1st Return Points Won
33% (10/30)34% (16/47)
2nd Return Points Won
49% (19/39)38% (9/24)
Break Points Converted
75% (3/4)0% (0/1)
Service Points Won
67% (46/69)58% (40/69)
Return Points Won
42% (29/69)33% (23/69)
Total Points Won
54% (75/138)46% (63/138)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
100% (9/9)70% (7/10)
Return Games Won
30% (3/10)0% (0/9)
Total Games Won
63% (12/19)37% (7/19)

Chances of winning


Lea Ma
65.4%
Amelia Rajecki
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.5% 37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7% 36.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lea Ma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • Amelia Rajecki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lea Ma than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amelia Rajecki than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • Lea Ma - Amelia Rajecki Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.44
    (1.5)

    2.7
    (2.5)
    6.7%
    (6.7%)
    Preview Facts
    • Ma is ranked WTA: 328. Rajecki is ranked WTA: 392.
    • Ma is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Rajecki is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Rajecki may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Ma will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Lea Ma
    12.10.2025 Lea Ma - Francesca Pace 1:2
    11.10.2025 Lea Ma - Krisha Mahendran 2:1
    10.10.2025 Lea Ma - Madison Sieg 2:0
    09.10.2025 Lea Ma - Ema Burgic 2:1
    08.10.2025 Lea Ma - Marie Weckerle 2:1
    Latest results of Amelia Rajecki
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Dolehide C. (1)Cherubini D. (RET.)1 : 1
    2Giavara H. (Q)Scott K. (Q)0 : 2
    3Pieri J.Portillo Ramirez M. J.2 : 0
    4Bektas E.Cross K. (7)0 : 2
    5Lepchenko V. (3)Kalieva E.0 : 2
    6Ma L.Rajecki A.2 : 0
    7Novak K. (Q)Kung L.0 : 2
    8Chang H.Brace C. (6)0 : 2
    9Vandewinkel H. (5)Mandlik E.2 : 0
    10Hinojosa Gomez J.Andrianjafitrimo T.0 : 2
    11Lee G.Tikhonova A.1 : 2
    12Smith A.Stakusic M. (4)1 : 2
    13Dart H. (8)Strakhova V.2 : 0
    14Rodriguez V.Plekhanova D. (Q)0 : 2
    15Yamalapalli S.Stephens S.2 : 0
    16Karatancheva L.Marcinko P. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Dolehide C. (1)Scott K.1 : 2
    2Pieri J.Cross K. (7)2 : 0
    3Kalieva E.Ma L. (RET.)0 : 0
    4Kung L.Brace C. (6)0 : 2
    5Vandewinkel H. (5)Andrianjafitrimo T.2 : 0
    6Tikhonova A.Stakusic M. (4)0 : 2
    7Dart H. (8)Plekhanova D. (RET.)0 : 0
    8Yamalapalli S.Marcinko P. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Scott K.Pieri J.1 : 2
    2Kalieva E.Brace C. (6)1 : 2
    3Vandewinkel H. (5)Stakusic M. (4)2 : 0
    4Dart H. (8)Marcinko P. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Pieri J.Brace C. (6)1 : 2
    2Vandewinkel H. (5)Dart H. (RET.) (8)1 : 0

    Final
    1Brace C. (6)Vandewinkel H. (5)0 : 2