Arsenal vs Atlético Madrid – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:0
21/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - League phase - Round 3
  • Referee: Massa D. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 2, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 4
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1, Play Sports 4
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, HBO Max, SBT, Sky+, TNT Sports, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 5
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
franceFranceCanal+ Live 2, CANAL+ Sport, Free
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 4
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 3, Now Player
hungaryHungaryRTL+, Sport 1
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254, Sky Sport Max
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 1
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, HBO Max, TNT Go, TNT Sports
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 6
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte, RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 3
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 1, TVP 2, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1, beIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 5 South, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Canal+ Sport, Canal+ Sport, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 3
turkeyTurkeyTabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+, TUDN App, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.250.67
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1911
Shots on target
81
Big Chances
61
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
90% (379/421)84% (333/395)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
2.250.67
xG on target (xGOT)
3.810.11
Total shots
1911
Shots on target
81
Shots off target
66
Blocked Shots
54
Shots inside the Box
168
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
61
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
3021
Accurate through passes
22
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1014
Passes
90% (379/421)84% (333/395)
Long passes
61% (19/31)42% (16/38)
Passes in final third
78% (101/130)80% (65/81)
Crosses
20% (3/15)22% (4/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.390.67
Throw-ins
1819
Fouls
1410
Tackles
50% (6/12)65% (13/20)
Duels won
4044
Clearances
1829
Interceptions
96
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.113.81
Goals prevented
0.11-0.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 33', Gimenez J. M. 🟨,
  • 38', Zubimendi M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (4 - 0)
  • 57', 1 - 0, Gabriel , Rice D. (A),
  • 63', Gimenez J. M. , Baena A. ,
  • 63', Gonzalez N. , Ruggeri M. ,
  • 63', Koke , Gallagher C. ,
  • 64', 2 - 0, Martinelli G. , Lewis-Skelly M. (A),
  • 67', 3 - 0, Gyökeres V. , Eze E. (A),
  • 70', 4 - 0, Gyökeres V. , Gabriel (A),
  • 72', Sorloth A. , Almada T. ,
  • 72', Simeone G. , Griezmann A. ,
  • 72', Gabriel , Mosquera C. ,
  • 72', Eze E. , Nwaneri E. ,
  • 72', Zubimendi M. , Norgaard C. ,
  • 75', Le Normand R. 🟨,
  • 83', Gyökeres V. , Merino M. ,
  • 83', Timber J. , White B. ,

Chances of winning


Arsenal
61.7%
Draw
23%
Atlético Madrid
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.2% 23.3% 16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1% 22.2% 15.7%

Arsenal - Atlético Madrid Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.57
(1.59)
4.22
(4.1)
6.4
(5.77)
3%
(4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Arsenal - Atlético Madrid?
  • Users Predictions: 89 users predict this event. Arsenal will win (votes: 59 - 66.3%). Atlético will win (votes: 19 - 21.3%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 12.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Arsenal: 56.5%76.1%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 85.7%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • DNB - Arsenal (1.19) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Arsenal will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams have triumphed in their latest matches.
    • Recently, Atlético has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Arsenal is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Arsenal: Gabriel Jesus (Knee Injury) Havertz K. (Knee Injury) Madueke N. (Knee Injury) Odegaard M. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Atlético: Cardoso J. (Ankle Injury) Gonzalez N. (Injury)
    • We predict that Arsenal will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Arsenal won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Arsenal won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    Latest results of Arsenal
    18.10.2025 Fulham - Arsenal 0:1
    04.10.2025 Arsenal - West Ham United 2:0
    28.09.2025 Newcastle United - Arsenal 1:2
    24.09.2025 Port Vale - Arsenal 0:2
    Latest results of Atlético Madrid
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal660017:11618
    2Bayern Munich650118:71115
    3PSG641119:81113
    4Manchester City641112:6613
    5Atalanta64118:6213
    6Inter640212:4812
    7Real Madrid640213:7612
    8Atl. Madrid640215:12312
    9Liverpool640211:8312
    10Dortmund632119:13611
    11Tottenham632113:7611
    12Newcastle631213:6710
    13Chelsea631213:8510
    14Sporting CP631212:8410
    15Barcelona631214:11310
    16Marseille630311:839
    17Juventus623112:1029
    18Galatasaray63038:809
    19Monaco62317:8-19
    20Bayer Leverkusen623110:12-29
    21PSV622215:1148
    22Qarabag621310:13-37
    23Napoli62136:11-57
    24FC Copenhagen621310:16-67
    25Benfica62046:8-26
    26Pafos61324:9-56
    27Royale Union SG62047:15-86
    28Ath Bilbao61234:9-55
    29Olympiacos Piraeus61236:13-75
    30Eintracht Frankfurt61148:16-84
    31Club Brugge KV61148:16-84
    32Bodo/Glimt60339:13-43
    33Slavia Prague60332:11-93
    34Ajax61055:18-133
    35Villarreal60154:13-91
    36Kairat Almaty60154:15-111

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)