Result
2:0
23/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Europa League - League phase - Round 3
- Referee: Saggi R. (Nor)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 9 |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | RTL, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 4 |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7 |
 Czech-republic | Sport 3 |
 Denmark | Disney+ |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | Canal+ Live 8 |
 Germany | RTL, RTL+ |
 Greece | ANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 7 |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Hungary | Sport 1 |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Japan | Wowow Live |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 5 |
 Mexico | FOX Sports Premium |
 Mongolia | Premier Sports 4 |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 3 |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 7 |
 Sweden | Disney+ |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 19, Blue Sport 19, RTL, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Turkey | Tabii |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 8, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 9 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | DAZN USA, Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.90 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (386/451) | 85% (350/412) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.90 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.70 | 0.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (386/451) | 85% (350/412) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (24/53) | 51% (25/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (83/119) | 71% (48/68) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (3/18) | 44% (8/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 0.53 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (14/18) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.05 | 1.70 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.05 | -0.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 20', 1 - 0, Suzuki Y. ⚽, Gunter C. (A),
- 45', 2 - 0, Grifo V. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 52', Beste J. ↓, Dinkci E. ↑,
- 60', Engwanda A. ↓, Iqbal Z. ↑,
- 67', Adamu J. ↓, Matanovic I. ↑,
- 67', Manzambi J. ↓, Hofler N. ↑,
- 67', Zechiel G. ↓, de Wit D. ↑,
- 67', Bozdogan C. ↓, van den Berg D. ↑,
- 75', Grifo V. ↓, Scherhant D. ↑,
- 75', Suzuki Y. ↓, Rosenfelder M. ↑,
- 78', Blake A. ↓, Murkin D. ↑,
- 78', Haller S. ↓, Min D. ↑,
- 88', Murkin D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Freiburg
68.5% | Draw
20.8% | Utrecht
10.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Freiburg's performance.Utrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Utrecht might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Freiburg that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utrecht than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Utrecht could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Freiburg - Utrecht Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.44 ↓
(1.56) |
4.91 ↑
(4.4) |
10.13 ↑
(5.47) |
-0.2%
(5.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Freiburg - Utrecht?
Users Predictions:
34 users predict this event. Freiburg will win (votes: 29 - 85.3%). Utrecht will win (votes: 1 - 2.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Freiburg: 73.4% – 97.2%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Freiburg (1.82) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Freiburg will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Freiburg (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Utrecht (votes: 1 - 14.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In recent matches, Freiburg has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Utrecht is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Freiburg is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Freiburg: Irie C.
(Illness)
Kyereh D.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Osterhage P.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Utrecht: Cathline Y.
(Leg Injury)
Demircan E.
(Inactive)
Finnsson K.
(Inactive)
Jenner I.
(Inactive)
Jensen V.
(Muscle Injury)
Ohio N.
(Inactive)
Vesterlund N.
(Knee Injury)
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Freiburg won against Utrecht?
Freiburg has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Utrecht won against Freiburg?
Utrecht has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Freiburg - Utrecht were as follows:
Latest results of Freiburg
Latest results of Utrecht
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Ludogorets (22) | Ferencvaros (12) | 0 : 2, 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Braga (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Panathinaikos (20) | Plzen (14) | 2 : 1, 2 : 2 |
| 4 | Betis (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Din. Zagreb (23) | Genk (9) | 3 : 3, 1 : 3 |
| 6 | Freiburg (7) | Bye | |
| 7 | PAOK (17) | Celta Vigo (16) | 0 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Lyon (1) | Bye | |
| 9 | Celtic (21) | Stuttgart (11) | 1 : 0, 1 : 4 |
| 10 | FC Porto (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Fenerbahce (19) | Nottingham (13) | 2 : 1, 0 : 3 |
| 12 | Midtjylland (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Brann (24) | Bologna (10) | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 14 | AS Roma (8) | Bye | |
| 15 | Lille (18) | Crvena zvezda (15) | 2 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Aston Villa (2) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Ferencvaros (12) | Braga (6) | |
| 2 | Panathinaikos (20) | Betis (4) | |
| 3 | Genk (9) | Freiburg (7) | |
| 4 | Celta Vigo (16) | Lyon (1) | |
| 5 | Stuttgart (11) | FC Porto (5) | |
| 6 | Nottingham (13) | Midtjylland (3) | |
| 7 | Bologna (10) | AS Roma (8) | |
| 8 | Lille (18) | Aston Villa (2) | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
