Freiburg vs Utrecht – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa League
Football UEFA Europa League Freiburg - Utrecht
Result
2:0
23/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Europa League - League phase - Round 3
  • Referee: Saggi R. (Nor)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
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asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 9
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaRTL, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 4
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 3
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 8
germanyGermanyRTL, RTL+
greeceGreeceANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 7
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
hungaryHungarySport 1
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
japanJapanWowow Live
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
mexicoMexicoFOX Sports Premium
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 4
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 3
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 7
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 19, Blue Sport 19, RTL, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyTabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 8, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 9
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaDAZN USA, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.520.90
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
72
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
86% (386/451)85% (350/412)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.520.90
xG on target (xGOT)
1.700.05
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
56
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
107
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
3015
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1112
Passes
86% (386/451)85% (350/412)
Long passes
45% (24/53)51% (25/49)
Passes in final third
70% (83/119)71% (48/68)
Crosses
17% (3/18)44% (8/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.490.53
Throw-ins
1412
Fouls
1211
Tackles
78% (14/18)69% (11/16)
Duels won
4658
Clearances
1632
Interceptions
66
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
0.051.70
Goals prevented
0.05-0.30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 20', 1 - 0, Suzuki Y. ⚽, Gunter C. (A),
  • 45', 2 - 0, Grifo V. ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 52', Beste J. ↓, Dinkci E. ↑,
  • 60', Engwanda A. ↓, Iqbal Z. ↑,
  • 67', Adamu J. ↓, Matanovic I. ↑,
  • 67', Manzambi J. ↓, Hofler N. ↑,
  • 67', Zechiel G. ↓, de Wit D. ↑,
  • 67', Bozdogan C. ↓, van den Berg D. ↑,
  • 75', Grifo V. ↓, Scherhant D. ↑,
  • 75', Suzuki Y. ↓, Rosenfelder M. ↑,
  • 78', Blake A. ↓, Murkin D. ↑,
  • 78', Haller S. ↓, Min D. ↑,
  • 88', Murkin D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Freiburg
68.5%		Draw
20.8%		Utrecht
10.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61% 21.6% 17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2% 21.2% 17.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Freiburg's performance.
  • Utrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Utrecht might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Freiburg that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utrecht than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Utrecht could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Freiburg - Utrecht Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.44 ↓
    (1.56)    		 4.91 ↑
    (4.4)    		 10.13 ↑
    (5.47)    		 -0.2%
    (5.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Freiburg - Utrecht?
  • Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Freiburg will win (votes: 29 - 85.3%). Utrecht will win (votes: 1 - 2.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 11.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Freiburg: 73.4% – 97.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Freiburg will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In recent matches, Freiburg has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Utrecht is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Freiburg is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Freiburg: Irie C. (Illness) Kyereh D. (Lacking Match Fitness) Osterhage P. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Utrecht: Cathline Y. (Leg Injury) Demircan E. (Inactive) Finnsson K. (Inactive) Jenner I. (Inactive) Jensen V. (Muscle Injury) Ohio N. (Inactive) Vesterlund N. (Knee Injury)
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Freiburg
    19.10.2025 Freiburg - Eintracht Frankfurt 2:2 ✺
    05.10.2025 Borussia Mönchengladbach - Freiburg 0:0 ✺
    02.10.2025 Bologna - Freiburg 1:1 ✺
    28.09.2025 Freiburg - Hoffenheim 1:1 ✺
    24.09.2025 Freiburg - Basel 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Utrecht
    18.10.2025 Utrecht - Volendam 3:1 ✺
    05.10.2025 Feyenoord - Utrecht 3:2 ✺
    02.10.2025 Brann - Utrecht 1:0 ✺
    28.09.2025 Utrecht - Heerenveen 2:2 ✺
    25.09.2025 Utrecht - Lyon 0:1 ✺
    UEFA Europa League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Midtjylland33008:269
    2Braga33005:059
    3Lyon33005:059
    4D. Zagreb32107:347
    5Plzen32106:247
    6Freiburg32105:237
    7Ferencvaros32105:327
    8Brann32015:236
    9Celta Vigo32016:426
    10Aston Villa32014:226
    11Lille32016:516
    12G.A. Eagles32014:316
    13Young Boys32016:606
    14Fenerbahce32014:406
    15FC Porto32013:306
    16Betis31204:225
    17Nottingham31116:514
    18Bologna31113:304
    19Genk31111:104
    20PAOK31115:6-14
    21Celtic31113:4-14
    22Panathinaikos31026:603
    23AS Roma31023:4-13
    24Basel31023:4-13
    25Feyenoord31023:4-13
    26Ludogorets31024:6-23
    27Sturm Graz31023:5-23
    28FCSB31022:4-23
    29Stuttgart31022:4-23
    30Crvena zvezda30122:5-31
    31Malmo FF30122:6-41
    32Maccabi Tel Aviv30121:6-51
    33Nice30033:6-30
    34Salzburg30032:6-40
    35Utrecht30030:4-40
    36Rangers30031:6-50

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