Result
1:2
16/10/2025 at 04:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Monastir 8, hard - 1/8-finals
Chances of winning
Luca Castagnola
43% | Connor Thomson
57% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luca Castagnola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luca Castagnola's form might have worsened.Connor Thomson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Connor Thomson's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Castagnola than the current prediction. (+8.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luca Castagnola, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Connor Thomson than the current prediction. (-8.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Connor Thomson, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Luca Castagnola - Connor Thomson Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.16 ↑
(1.83) |
|
1.63 ↓
(1.83) |
7.6%
(9.3%) | |
Preview Facts
- Castagnola is ranked ATP: 630. Thomson is ranked ATP: 1274.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Thomson may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
- Recently, there has been no match between the players.
How many head-to-head matches has Luca Castagnola won against Connor Thomson?
Luca Castagnola has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Connor Thomson won against Luca Castagnola?
Connor Thomson has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Luca Castagnola - Connor Thomson were as follows:
Latest results of Luca Castagnola
Latest results of Connor Thomson
Draw
20251/16-finals| 1 | Erhard M. (1) | Johnson-Hauldren J. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Vasilev D. | Trifi A. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Petak D. | Makhlouf N. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | McLennaghan W. | Loge J. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Paroulek T. (4) | Wiedenmann L. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Molder M. | Shepp A. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Ostapenkov D. | Nortey I. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Aytekin M. | Donnet E. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Demanet E. (8) | Maxted L. | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Lumsden E. | Hannestad B. | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Nagoudi A. | Castagnola L. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Thomson C. | Erel Y. (3) | 2 : 0 |
| 13 | Vanshelboim E. (6) | Gronfeldt-Sorensen C. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Fabre A. | Robert N. | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Misrahi J. | Martin T. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Kudriashov I. | Pereira T. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Erhard M. (1) | Trifi A. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Makhlouf N. | Loge J. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Wiedenmann L. | Shepp A. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Ostapenkov D. | Donnet E. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Maxted L. | Lumsden E. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Castagnola L. | Thomson C. | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Vanshelboim E. (6) | Robert N. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Martin T. | Pereira T. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Erhard M. (1) | Loge J. (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Wiedenmann L. | Donnet E. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Maxted L. (WO.) | Thomson C. | |
| 4 | Vanshelboim E. (6) | Pereira T. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Erhard M. (1) | Donnet E. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Maxted L. | Vanshelboim E. (6) | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Donnet E. (5) | Maxted L. | 1 : 2 |
