Bastian Malla vs Carlos Maria Zarate – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ITF M15 Santiago 5 Men Bastian Malla - Carlos Maria Zarate
Result
1:2
16/10/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Santiago 5, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Last 10 Balls
33

Chances of winning


Bastian Malla
62.5%
Carlos Maria Zarate
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.8% 46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5% 46.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bastian Malla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bastian Malla's performance.
  • Carlos Maria Zarate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carlos Maria Zarate might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bastian Malla than the current prediction. (-9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bastian Malla that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlos Maria Zarate than the current prediction. (+9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carlos Maria Zarate could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Bastian Malla - Carlos Maria Zarate Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.48
    (1.72)

    2.48
    (2)
    7.8%
    (8.1%)
    Preview Facts
    • Malla is ranked ATP: 1151. Zarate is ranked ATP: 802.
    • Malla has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Zarate is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Zarate may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Malla might have a minor edge in this game.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Bastian Malla
    Draw
    2025

    1/16-finals
    1Casanova H. (1)Aguilar Cardozo F.2 : 1
    2Nunez Vera A. S.Becerra Otarola I. A.2 : 1
    3Torrealba B.Gonzalez-Galino V.2 : 0
    4Villalon N.Aguilar Cardozo J. (7)0 : 2
    5Vilicich B. (3)Jarry Fillol D.2 : 0
    6Pagani D.Cigarran T.2 : 1
    7Garcia Longo N.Covato M.2 : 0
    8Zeitune M.Dickerson R. (8)1 : 2
    9Nunez D. A. (6)Malla B.0 : 2
    10Zarate C. M.Abde Celis J.2 : 0
    11Cavallo F.Vertberger I.2 : 0
    12Ratti L.Monzon I. (4)2 : 0
    13Lilov V. (5)Tenti F.2 : 0
    14Monferrer E.Perez B.0 : 2
    15Salazar A.Cundom J.0 : 2
    16Menzel Piccioli T. E.La Serna J. M. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Casanova H. (1)Nunez Vera A. S.2 : 0
    2Torrealba B.Aguilar Cardozo J. (7)0 : 2
    3Vilicich B. (3)Pagani D.1 : 2
    4Garcia Longo N.Dickerson R. (8)0 : 2
    5Malla B.Zarate C. M.1 : 2
    6Cavallo F.Ratti L.2 : 0
    7Lilov V. (5)Perez B.0 : 2
    8Cundom J.La Serna J. M. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Casanova H. (1)Aguilar Cardozo J. (7)2 : 0
    2Pagani D.Dickerson R. (8)0 : 2
    3Zarate C. M.Cavallo F.2 : 0
    4Perez B.La Serna J. M. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Casanova H. (1)Dickerson R. (8)
    2Zarate C. M.La Serna J. M. (2)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2