Koki Matsuda vs Maxim Zhukov – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Suzhou Challenger Men Koki Matsuda - Maxim Zhukov
Result
1:2
18/10/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Suzhou - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
86
Double Faults
34
1st Serve Percentage
63%56%
1st Serve Points Won
58% (38/66)68% (36/53)
2nd Serve Points Won
50% (19/38)62% (26/42)
Break Points Saved
33% (3/9)25% (1/4)
1st Return Points Won
34% (18/53)44% (29/66)
2nd Return Points Won
38% (16/42)50% (19/38)
Break Points Converted
75% (3/4)67% (6/9)
Service Points Won
55% (56/102)64% (59/92)
Return Points Won
36% (33/92)45% (46/102)
Total Points Won
46% (89/194)54% (105/194)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
63% (10/16)80% (12/15)
Return Games Won
20% (3/15)38% (6/16)
Total Games Won
42% (13/31)58% (18/31)

Chances of winning


Koki Matsuda
41%
Maxim Zhukov
59%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5% 51.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Koki Matsuda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Koki Matsuda's form might have worsened.
  • Maxim Zhukov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maxim Zhukov's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Koki Matsuda than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Koki Matsuda, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maxim Zhukov than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maxim Zhukov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Koki Matsuda - Maxim Zhukov Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.27
    (1.83)

    1.58
    (1.83)
    7.4%
    (9.3%)
    Preview Facts
    • Matsuda is ranked ATP: 672. Zhukov is ranked ATP: 495.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Matsuda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Koki Matsuda
    Latest results of Maxim Zhukov
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Nishioka Y. (1)Zhou Y.
    2Fomin S. (LL)Tokuda R.
    3Ferreira Silva F.Zhukov M. (Q)
    4Simakin I.Shimabukuro S. (8)
    5Rocha H. (3)Ajdukovic D. (Alt)1 : 2
    6Cui J.Takahashi Y. (Q)
    7Huang T. (Q)Johns G.
    8Harris L.Kubler J. (RET.) (6)1 : 0
    9Mayot H. (5)Uchiyama Y.2 : 1
    10Mo Y. C. (WC)Honda N. (JR)0 : 2
    11Kumasaka T. (Q)Jasika O.
    12Sun F.Shimizu Y. (9)
    13McCabe J. (7)Jung J. (PR)2 : 1
    14Sultanov K. (Q)Wu Tung-Lin (Q)
    15Wang A. (WC)Te R. (WC)2 : 1
    16Hsu Y. H.Wong C. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3Ajdukovic D.TBD #6
    4TBD #7Harris L.
    5Mayot H. (5)Honda N.
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7McCabe J. (7)TBD #14
    8Wang A.Hsu Y. H.

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2