Ryuki Matsuda vs Evan Zhu – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Suzhou Challenger Men Ryuki Matsuda - Evan Zhu
Result
1:2
19/10/2025 at 23:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Suzhou - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
36
Double Faults
34
1st Serve Percentage
58%61%
1st Serve Points Won
67% (40/60)70% (38/54)
2nd Serve Points Won
45% (20/44)54% (19/35)
Break Points Saved
50% (3/6)50% (3/6)
1st Return Points Won
30% (16/54)35% (21/60)
2nd Return Points Won
46% (16/35)55% (24/44)
Break Points Converted
50% (3/6)50% (3/6)
Service Points Won
58% (60/104)64% (57/89)
Return Points Won
36% (32/89)42% (44/104)
Total Points Won
48% (92/193)52% (101/193)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
80% (12/15)80% (12/15)
Return Games Won
20% (3/15)20% (3/15)
Total Games Won
50% (15/30)50% (15/30)

Chances of winning


Ryuki Matsuda
53.6%
Evan Zhu
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.1% 35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.5% 31.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ryuki Matsuda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ryuki Matsuda's form might have worsened.
  • Evan Zhu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Evan Zhu's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ryuki Matsuda than the current prediction. (+14.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ryuki Matsuda, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Evan Zhu than the current prediction. (-14.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Evan Zhu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Ryuki Matsuda - Evan Zhu Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.81
    (1.42)

    2.09
    (2.53)
    3.3%
    (9.9%)
    Preview Facts
    • Matsuda is ranked ATP: 475. Zhu is ranked ATP: 579.
    • Matsuda is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Zhu is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Zhu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Matsuda could have a small edge in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Ryuki Matsuda
    Latest results of Evan Zhu
    12.10.2025 Sergey Fomin - Evan Zhu 2:1
    11.10.2025 Zhenxiong Dong - Evan Zhu 0:2
    21.09.2025 Alex Bolt - Evan Zhu 2:1
    16.09.2025 Denis Yevseyev - Evan Zhu 2:1
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Nishioka Y. (1)Zhou Y.
    2Fomin S. (LL)Tokuda R.
    3Ferreira Silva F.Zhukov M. (Q)
    4Simakin I.Shimabukuro S. (8)
    5Rocha H. (3)Ajdukovic D. (Alt)1 : 2
    6Cui J.Takahashi Y. (Q)
    7Huang T. (Q)Johns G.
    8Harris L.Kubler J. (RET.) (6)1 : 0
    9Mayot H. (5)Uchiyama Y.2 : 1
    10Mo Y. C. (WC)Honda N. (JR)0 : 2
    11Kumasaka T. (Q)Jasika O.
    12Sun F.Shimizu Y. (9)
    13McCabe J. (7)Jung J. (PR)2 : 1
    14Sultanov K. (Q)Wu Tung-Lin (Q)
    15Wang A. (WC)Te R. (WC)2 : 1
    16Hsu Y. H.Wong C. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3Ajdukovic D.TBD #6
    4TBD #7Harris L.
    5Mayot H. (5)Honda N.
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7McCabe J. (7)TBD #14
    8Wang A.Hsu Y. H.

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2