Umar Nurmagomedov vs Mario Bautista – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

MMA Bantamweight UFC Men Umar Nurmagomedov - Mario Bautista
Result
Nurmagomedov U. win
25/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BANTAMWEIGHT - MEN: UFC
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 8
norwayNorwayViaplay
polandPolandPolsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport Premium 1
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
swedenSwedenViaplay

Chances of winning


Umar Nurmagomedov
82.1%
Mario Bautista
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
79% 21%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Umar Nurmagomedov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • Mario Bautista has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Umar Nurmagomedov - Mario Bautista Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.18
    (1.2)

    5.02
    (4.53)
    5%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • In this match, Nurmagomedov is the undisputed favorite.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the fighters.
    Latest results of Umar Nurmagomedov
    18.01.2025 Merab Dvalishvili - Umar Nurmagomedov Dvalishvili M. win
    03.08.2024 Cory Sandhagen - Umar Nurmagomedov Nurmagomedov U. win
    02.03.2024 Umar Nurmagomedov - Bekzat Almakhan Nurmagomedov U. win
    05.08.2023 Cory Sandhagen - Umar Nurmagomedov Canceled
    Latest results of Mario Bautista
    07.06.2025 Mario Bautista - Patrick Mix Bautista M. win
    07.06.2025 Marlon Vera - Mario Bautista Canceled
    05.10.2024 Jose Aldo - Mario Bautista Bautista M. win
    13.01.2024 Ricky Simon - Mario Bautista Bautista M. win
    19.08.2023 DaMon Blackshear - Mario Bautista Bautista M. win