Tom Aspinall vs Ciryl Gane – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

25/10/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Etihad Arena (Abu Dhabi).

HEAVYWEIGHT - MEN: UFC
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Australia	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	RMC Sport 1
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 8
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Polsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport 3, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	TNT Sports 4
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+

Chances of winning

Tom Aspinall
75.8%

Ciryl Gane
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

75.6%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tom Aspinall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Ciryl Gane has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Tom Aspinall - Ciryl Gane Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.27)		3.92 ↓ (3.93)	4.9% (4.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

What is the prediction for Tom Aspinall - Ciryl Gane?

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Aspinall will win (votes: 18 - 78.3%). Gane will win (votes: 5 - 21.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aspinall: 61.5% – 95.1%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Tom Aspinall will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is .

Preview Facts

Aspinall Tom defending title.
In this match, Aspinall is the team to beat.
In recent times, the fighters did not meet on the field.

How many head-to-head matches has Tom Aspinall won against Ciryl Gane?

Tom Aspinall has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Ciryl Gane won against Tom Aspinall?

Ciryl Gane has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Tom Aspinall - Ciryl Gane were as follows:

Latest results of Tom Aspinall

27.07.2024 Tom Aspinall - Curtis Blaydes Aspinall T. - 1st Round TKO ✺

11.11.2023 Sergey Pavlovich - Tom Aspinall Aspinall T. - 1st Round KO ✺

22.07.2023 Tom Aspinall - Marcin Tybura Aspinall T. - 1st Round KO ✺

Latest results of Ciryl Gane

07.12.2024 Ciryl Gane - Alexander Volkov Gane C. win ✺

26.10.2024 Ciryl Gane - Alexander Volkov Canceled ✺

02.09.2023 Ciryl Gane - Sergey Spivak Gane C. - 2nd Round TKO ✺