Manisa FK vs Sarıyer – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
10/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 1. Lig - Round 30
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.781.51
Ball possession
41%59%
Total shots
920
Shots on target
56
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
24
Passes
82% (317/387)88% (460/520)
Yellow cards
43
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
0.781.51
xG on target (xGOT)
1.750.31
Total shots
920
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
39
Blocked shots
15
Shots inside the box
412
Shots outside the box
58
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
731
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free kicks
146
Passes
82% (317/387)88% (460/520)
Long passes
40% (30/75)61% (30/49)
Passes in final third
51% (33/65)81% (130/160)
Crosses
29% (2/7)25% (7/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.371.54
Throw ins
1419
Fouls
614
Tackles
72% (13/18)57% (8/14)
Duels won
5036
Clearances
316
Interceptions
104
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
62
xGOT faced
0.311.75
Goals prevented
0.31-1.25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 5', Kiprit M. 🟨,
  • 11', 1 - 0, Diony L. , Karapo A. (A),
  • 20', Cissokho M. 🟨,
  • 42', Bayram O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Eze E. , Kor B. ,
  • 47', Cissokho M. 🟨,
  • 53', Ozer F. 🟨,
  • 55', Kiprit M. , Dursun Y. ,
  • 57', 2 - 0, Adekanye B. , Lindseth J. (A),
  • 60', Kulasin E. , Sol O. ,
  • 63', Yesilyurt H. E. , Kara A. ,
  • 68', Ozer F. , Mert M. ,
  • 74', Adekanye B. , Talum Y. ,
  • 76', Osmanpasa C. , Ekmekci A. ,
  • 86', Dursun Y. 🟨,
  • 87', Vargas A. , Kahraman O. ,
  • 87', Sonmez K. , Gureler Y. ,
  • 90+1', 3 - 0, Kahraman O. , Diony L. (A),
  • 90+5', Sol O. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Manisa FK
34.8%
Draw
28.8%
Sarıyer
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.4% 26% 29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8% 25.8% 29.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Manisa FK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Manisa FK's form might have worsened.
  • Sarıyer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sarıyer's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manisa FK than the current prediction. (+10%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manisa FK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarıyer than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sarıyer, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Manisa FK - Sarıyer Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.68
    (2.08)
    3.24
    (3.55)
    2.55
    (3.13)
    7.4%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Manisa FK - Sarıyer?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Manisa will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Sarıyer will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Manisa: 35.2%92%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Sarıyer (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Sarıyer (1.81) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Manisa (1.47) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • EH +1 - Manisa (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Manisa (2.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Manisa (1.93) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Manisa (votes: 6 - 50%). Sarıyer (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 16).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Sarıyer may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Sarıyer: Babacar K. (Inactive) Djilobodji P. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Sarıyer: Eze E. (Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manisa won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.2:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Manisa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Manisa FK - Sarıyer were as follows:
    25.10.2025 Sarıyer - Manisa FK 0:0
    Latest results of Manisa FK
    07.03.2026 Erzurumspor - Manisa FK 8:1
    02.03.2026 Manisa FK - Çorum 0:1
    22.02.2026 Bodrumspor - Manisa FK 1:2
    18.02.2026 Manisa FK - Bandırmaspor 3:2
    13.02.2026 Erokspor - Manisa FK 3:1
    Latest results of Sarıyer
    06.03.2026 Sarıyer - Umraniyespor 1:2
    01.03.2026 Sakaryaspor - Sarıyer 0:0
    23.02.2026 Sarıyer - Adana Demirspor 5:0
    19.02.2026 Sarıyer - Amed SK 1:1
    15.02.2026 Pendikspor - Sarıyer 2:0
    Turkish First League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Erzurumspor32209374:235169
    2Amedspor32207568:323667
    3Erokspor32189573:304363
    4Corum32195853:341962
    5Bodrumspor32176967:353257
    6Pendikspor321412649:272254
    7Bandirmaspor321391042:33948
    8Keciorengucu321211963:402347
    9Sivasspor321211940:31947
    10Igdir FK321291140:44-445
    11Vanspor FK3211101142:35743
    12Manisa FK321271346:52-643
    13Boluspor321261450:44642
    14Umraniyespor321161538:41-339
    15Sariyer321161534:41-739
    16Istanbulspor AS329121138:48-1039
    17Serik Spor321051738:60-2235
    18Sakaryaspor32881641:56-1532
    19Hatayspor32072522:88-667
    20Adana Demirspor ✔ 32032917:141-124-57

          Promotion ~ Super Lig
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Adana Demirspor is Relegated to