Montpellier vs Nancy – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
25/10/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 11
  • Referee: Taleb A. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
andorraAndorrabeIN Sports 1
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 5
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 1, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
japanJapanDAZN Japan
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Sports 4
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.810.67
Ball Possession
69%31%
Total shots
195
Shots on target
92
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
91
Passes
88% (494/560)74% (186/252)
Yellow Cards
12
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.810.67
xG on target (xGOT)
1.540.41
Total shots
195
Shots on target
92
Shots off target
71
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
93
Shots outside the Box
102
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
91
Touches in opposition box
259
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
60
Free Kicks
1514
Passes
88% (494/560)74% (186/252)
Long passes
46% (17/37)47% (22/47)
Passes in final third
71% (108/152)65% (50/77)
Crosses
18% (5/28)11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.870.25
Throw-ins
1919
Fouls
1415
Tackles
64% (9/14)69% (11/16)
Duels won
4864
Clearances
1238
Interceptions
710
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
0.411.54
Goals prevented
-0.59-2.46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 13', Mendy E. 🟨,
  • 17', 0 - 1, Bamba R. ,
  • 22', Mendy E. 🟨,
  • 23', Correa P. 🟨,
  • 33', Junior Pereira da Silva E. , Fayad K. ,
  • 44', 1 - 1, Omeragic B. ,
  • 45', Chennahi T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Bokangu B. , Julloux A. ,
  • 46', Chennahi T. , Jullien C. ,
  • 48', 2 - 1, Fayad K. ,
  • 63', 3 - 1, Pays N. , Jullien C. (A),
  • 64', Bouriaud T. , Fdaouch Z. ,
  • 65', Maouassa F. , Experience M. ,
  • 65', Bouabdelli W. , Camara B. ,
  • 68', Fdaouch Z. , Ztouti Z. ,
  • 71', Mincarelli L. , Sainte-Luce T. ,
  • 72', Savanier T. , Sishuba A. ,
  • 80', 4 - 1, Mbuku N. , Fayad K. (A),
  • 85', Omeragic B. , El Hannach N. ,

Chances of winning


Montpellier
44.2%
Draw
28%
Nancy
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.4% 26.6% 30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44% 26.2% 29.6%

Montpellier - Nancy Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.13
(2.15)
3.34
(3.5)
3.39
(3.11)
6.4%
(7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Montpellier - Nancy?
  • Users Predictions: Montpellier will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montpellier won 4.
    • Montpellier has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Nancy has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Montpellier will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Montpellier: Gueguin A. (Inactive) Mouanga Y. (Injury) Ngosso G. (Knee Injury) Sainte-Luce T. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Nancy: El Hansar C. (Injury) Kenzo N. (Injury) Ztouti Z. (Inactive)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Montpellier won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:3. (average 1.5:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Montpellier won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
    Latest results of Montpellier
    18.10.2025 Dunkerque - Montpellier 0:1
    27.09.2025 Laval - Montpellier 0:1
    23.09.2025 Montpellier - Boulogne 1:3
    20.09.2025 Montpellier - Bastia 2:0
    Latest results of Nancy
    20.10.2025 Nancy - Amiens 0:1
    03.10.2025 Guingamp - Nancy 2:2
    26.09.2025 Nancy - Reims 0:1
    23.09.2025 Annecy - Nancy 1:2
    19.09.2025 Nancy - Red Star 0:1
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes17105230:161435
    2St Etienne1793535:251030
    3Le Mans1786322:17530
    4Reims1785432:201229
    5Red Star1685321:15629
    6Dunkerque1776429:191027
    7Pau FC1775523:25-226
    8Montpellier1774618:16225
    9Guingamp1765625:30-523
    10Annecy1764721:18322
    11Grenoble1756619:21-221
    12Rodez1756618:23-521
    13Clermont1747616:21-519
    14Amiens1753921:26-518
    15Nancy1753915:22-718
    16Boulogne1744918:26-816
    17Laval1736813:22-915
    18Bastia1615108:22-148

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National