Brugge U23 vs ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Belgian Сhallenger Pro League Brugge U23 - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne
Result
1:1
25/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Challenger Pro League - Round 11

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.921.87
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1716
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
81% (390/480)76% (297/390)
Yellow Cards
04
Expected Goals (xG)
0.921.87
xG on target (xGOT)
0.390.86
Total shots
1716
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
67
Blocked Shots
64
Shots inside the Box
810
Shots outside the Box
96
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
1428
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
04
Free Kicks
185
Passes
81% (390/480)76% (297/390)
Long passes
40% (21/52)49% (37/75)
Passes in final third
65% (58/89)67% (102/152)
Crosses
26% (5/19)24% (5/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.491.45
Throw-ins
2522
Fouls
518
Tackles
50% (8/16)86% (18/21)
Duels won
6247
Clearances
3130
Interceptions
311
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
55
xGOT faced
0.860.39
Goals prevented
-0.14-0.61

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 30', Diallo T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Florica L. , Lake T. ,
  • 46', Medfai M. , Berberi R. ,
  • 55', Amengai N. , Koren T. N. ,
  • 59', Jahic H. 🟨,
  • 60', Diallo T. , Sarkic O. ,
  • 64', Ndedi Kegne K. J. , Spago E. ,
  • 66', 0 - 1, Lake T. , Sarkic O. (A),
  • 70', Kima Beyissa K. , Thea A. ,
  • 74', Furo K. , Musuayi Y. ,
  • 74', Campbell S. , Lund-Jensen T. ,
  • 84', Ferrara L. 🟨,
  • 86', Granados A. , Van Britsom J. ,
  • 89', Marloye S. , Elbay M. ,
  • 89', 1 - 1, Musuayi Y. , Audoor S. (A),
  • 90+1', Dailly N. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Brugge U23
52.4%
Draw
24.4%
ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.3% 23.7% 23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4% 19.7% 28.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Brugge U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brugge U23 than the current prediction. (-9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brugge U23 that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Brugge U23 - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.77
    (1.76)
    3.84
    (3.88)
    4.01
    (3.85)
    7.4%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Brugge U23 - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne?
  • Users Predictions: Brugge U23 will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).
    • Brugge U23 has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • ROCCM has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • ROCCM may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, ROCCM has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Brugge U23 is the team to beat.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Brugge U23
    18.10.2025 RWDM Brussels - Brugge U23 3:1
    04.10.2025 Brugge U23 - Gent U23 0:4
    24.09.2025 Brugge U23 - Lommel 0:2
    21.09.2025 Kortrijk - Brugge U23 1:1
    Latest results of ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne