Result
2:1
21/02/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 57', 1 - 0, Ouerfelli M. ⚽,
- 65', 2 - 0, Mejri A. ⚽,
- 83', Oudi I. 🟥,
- 86', 2 - 1, Ben Zine C. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Ariana
32.7% | Draw
32.1% | Stade Gabèsien
35.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ariana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)The chances for Stade Gabèsien have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ariana than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stade Gabèsien than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Ariana - Stade Gabèsien Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.75 ↑
(2.71) |
2.8 ↓
(2.86) |
2.55 ↓
(2.56) |
11.3%
(11%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2 (Promotion Group: )).
- Ariana is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Stade Gabèsien is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ariana won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Ariana won against Stade Gabèsien?
Ariana has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stade Gabèsien won against Ariana?
Stade Gabèsien has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ariana - Stade Gabèsien were as follows:
12.11.2025
Stade Gabèsien
-
Ariana
2:1
Latest results of Stade Gabèsien
Tunisian Ligue 2 Table
2025/26Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hamam-Sousse | 19 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 30:14 | 16 | 39 |
| 2 | US Tataouine | 19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 27:12 | 15 | 38 |
| 3 | Hammam-Lif | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 28:10 | 18 | 37 |
| 4 | Sfax Railways | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 25:19 | 6 | 32 |
| 5 | Sporting Ben Arous | 19 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 21:14 | 7 | 27 |
| 6 | Msaken | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 19:19 | 0 | 26 |
| 7 | BS Bouhajla | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 16:16 | 0 | 25 |
| 8 | EM Mahdia | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 16:19 | -3 | 24 |
| 9 | Megrine | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 19:27 | -8 | 22 |
| 10 | Chebba | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 19:28 | -9 | 20 |
| 11 | OC Kerkennah | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 15:23 | -8 | 19 |
| 12 | AS Agareb | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17:29 | -12 | 17 |
| 13 | Bousalem | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 12:24 | -12 | 17 |
| 14 | Menzel Bourguiba | 19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 14:24 | -10 | 14 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Progres Sakiet | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 34:11 | 23 | 42 |
| 2 | Stade Gabesien | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 33:15 | 18 | 35 |
| 3 | Kasserine | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 22:14 | 8 | 34 |
| 4 | Ksour Essef | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 29:20 | 9 | 26 |
| 5 | Ariana | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:21 | -1 | 26 |
| 6 | Jendouba Sport | 19 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 22:16 | 6 | 25 |
| 7 | Bouchamma | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 21:22 | -1 | 25 |
| 8 | Korba | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 11:12 | -1 | 24 |
| 9 | Kalaa | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 22:27 | -5 | 23 |
| 10 | EGS Gafsa | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 16:21 | -5 | 23 |
| 11 | Redeyef | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 20:29 | -9 | 23 |
| 12 | Djelma | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 12:24 | -12 | 21 |
| 13 | Moknine | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 21:27 | -6 | 20 |
| 14 | Sidi Bouzid | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 11:35 | -24 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Ligue Professionnelle 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 2 (Promotion Group: )
Relegation
