Result
0:2
21/10/2025 at 08:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 3
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, Paramount+ |
 China | iQIYI, ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
 Georgia | Silk Sport 1 |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV, M Plus Live |
 India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Malaysia | Astro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka |
 Russia | TV Start |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 1 |
 Ukraine | Sport 2 |
 World | Sport 1 Baltic, Sport 2 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.12 | 1.54 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 2 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (385/468) | 86% (398/464) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.12 | 1.54 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.21 | 2.69 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 2 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 6 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (385/468) | 86% (398/464) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (19/55) | 53% (39/74) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (62/94) | 78% (138/178) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (1/8) | 30% (6/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.24 | 0.87 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 32 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (12/19) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.69 | 0.21 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.69 | 0.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 12', 0 - 1, Fu Huan (Own goal),
- 25', 0 - 2, Soma Y. ⚽, Shimoda H. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Browning Tyias ↓, Yusup Umidjan ↑,
- 46', Li Shenglong ↓, Kuai Jiwen ↑,
- 48', Soma Y. 🟨,
- 60', Li X. ↓, Liu Ruofan ↑,
- 60', Melendo O. ↓, Leonardo ↑,
- 66', Fujio S. ↓, Oh Se-Hun ↑,
- 66', Duke M. ↓, Na Sang-Ho ↑,
- 69', Masuyama A. ↓, Hayashi K. ↑,
- 76', Fu Huan ↓, Lu Wenjun ↑,
- 89', Matheus Jussa 🟨,
- 90', Shimoda H. ↓, Numata T. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/4kfsyr38
Chances of winning
Shanghai Port
21.5% | Draw
22.6% | Machida Zelvia
55.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shanghai Port has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shanghai Port's form might have worsened.Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Machida Zelvia's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanghai Port than the current prediction. (+10.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shanghai Port, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (-12.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Machida Zelvia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Shanghai Port - Machida Zelvia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.44 ↑
(2.93) |
4.23 ↑
(3.71) |
1.71 ↓
(2.11) |
4.5%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Shanghai Port - Machida Zelvia?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Machida Zelvia (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.75 - Shanghai Port (2.15) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -0.5 - Machida Zelvia (1.24) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Machida Zelvia will win
(15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.11% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Shanghai Port (votes: 4 - 50%). Machida Zelvia (votes: 4 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Shanghai Port is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Machida Zelvia has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Machida Zelvia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Machida Zelvia is considered a favorite.
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Shanghai Port won against Machida Zelvia?
Shanghai Port has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Machida Zelvia won against Shanghai Port?
Machida Zelvia has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shanghai Port - Machida Zelvia were as follows:
Latest results of Shanghai Port
Latest results of Machida Zelvia
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Al Hilal (1) | Al-Sadd (8) | |
| 2 | Al Ahli SC (2) | Al-Duhail (7) | |
| 3 | Tractor (3) | Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai (6) | |
| 4 | Al Ittihad (4) | Al Wahda (5) | |
| 5 | Machida (1) | Gangwon (8) | |
| 6 | Vissel Kobe (2) | Seoul (7) | |
| 7 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (3) | Johor DT (6) | |
| 8 | Buriram (4) | Melbourne City (5) | 1 : 1 |
