Shanghai Port vs Machida Zelvia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football AFC Champions League Shanghai Port - Machida Zelvia
Result
0:2
21/10/2025 at 08:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 3
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, Paramount+
chinaChinaiQIYI, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 1
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV, M Plus Live
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, Vision+
japanJapanDAZN Japan
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka
russiaRussiaTV Start
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 1
ukraineUkraineSport 2
worldWorldSport 1 Baltic, Sport 2 Baltic

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.121.54
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
216
Shots on target
18
Big Chances
06
Corner Kicks
28
Passes
82% (385/468)86% (398/464)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.121.54
xG on target (xGOT)
0.212.69
Total shots
216
Shots on target
18
Shots off target
03
Blocked Shots
15
Shots inside the Box
112
Shots outside the Box
14
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
06
Corner Kicks
28
Touches in opposition box
623
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
17
Free Kicks
139
Passes
82% (385/468)86% (398/464)
Long passes
35% (19/55)53% (39/74)
Passes in final third
66% (62/94)78% (138/178)
Crosses
13% (1/8)30% (6/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.240.87
Throw-ins
2232
Fouls
913
Tackles
63% (12/19)54% (7/13)
Duels won
4036
Clearances
3220
Interceptions
410
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
61
xGOT faced
2.690.21
Goals prevented
1.690.21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 12', 0 - 1, Fu Huan (Own goal),
  • 25', 0 - 2, Soma Y. , Shimoda H. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Browning Tyias , Yusup Umidjan ,
  • 46', Li Shenglong , Kuai Jiwen ,
  • 48', Soma Y. 🟨,
  • 60', Li X. , Liu Ruofan ,
  • 60', Melendo O. , Leonardo ,
  • 66', Fujio S. , Oh Se-Hun ,
  • 66', Duke M. , Na Sang-Ho ,
  • 69', Masuyama A. , Hayashi K. ,
  • 76', Fu Huan , Lu Wenjun ,
  • 89', Matheus Jussa 🟨,
  • 90', Shimoda H. , Numata T. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/4kfsyr38

Chances of winning


Shanghai Port
21.5%
Draw
22.6%
Machida Zelvia
55.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.5% 24.8% 43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7% 24.6% 43.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shanghai Port has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shanghai Port's form might have worsened.
  • Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Machida Zelvia's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanghai Port than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shanghai Port, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (-12.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Machida Zelvia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Shanghai Port - Machida Zelvia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.44
    (2.93)
    4.23
    (3.71)
    1.71
    (2.11)
    4.5%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Shanghai Port - Machida Zelvia?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.75 - Shanghai Port (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Machida Zelvia will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 66.11%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Shanghai Port is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Machida Zelvia has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Machida Zelvia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Machida Zelvia is considered a favorite.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Shanghai Port
    Latest results of Machida Zelvia
    AFC Champions League Table
    League phase

    East
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ulsan HD32104:227
    2Vissel Kobe32017:436
    3Gangwon32016:516
    4Machida31203:125
    5Shanghai Shenhua31114:314
    6Seoul31114:314
    7Sanfrecce Hiroshima31113:214
    8Johor DT31113:214
    9Melbourne City31022:4-23
    10Chengdu Rongcheng31022:4-23
    11Buriram31023:6-33
    12Shanghai Port30121:6-51


    West
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Hilal33008:449
    2Al Ahli SC321010:467
    3Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai32106:247
    4Al Wahda32105:237
    5Tractor31206:155
    6Al Sharjah31115:9-44
    7Al Ittihad31025:413
    8Al-Gharafa31025:8-33
    9Al-Sadd30213:5-22
    10Al-Duhail30124:7-31
    11Al Shorta30122:7-51
    12Nasaf Qarshi30035:11-60

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