Result
0:2
21/10/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Basel, hard - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 0 | 19 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 73% | 84% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 69% (34/49) | 88% (37/42) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 44% (8/18) | 63% (5/8) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 71% (5/7) | 0% (0/0) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 12% (5/42) | 33% (16/49) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 38% (3/8) | 56% (10/18) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 0% (0/0) | 29% (2/7) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 5 | 15 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 71% (12/17) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 62% (41/66) | 82% (42/51) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 18% (9/51) | 38% (25/66) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 43% (50/117) | 57% (67/117) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 100% (10/10) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 0% (0/10) | 22% (2/9) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 37% (7/19) | 63% (12/19) |
Chances of winning
Sebastian Baez
29.6% | Reilly Opelka
70.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sebastian Baez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Reilly Opelka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reilly Opelka than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Sebastian Baez - Reilly Opelka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.18 ↑
(2.85) |
|
1.36 ↓
(1.4) |
5.2%
(6.5%) | |
What is the prediction for Sebastian Baez - Reilly Opelka?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Opelka will win (votes: 8 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Opelka: 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Baez is ranked ATP: 43. Opelka is ranked ATP: 62.
- Baez is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Opelka has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Opelka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Opelka is seen as the favorite.
- Recently, there has been no match between the players.
How many head-to-head matches has Sebastian Baez won against Reilly Opelka?
Sebastian Baez has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Reilly Opelka won against Sebastian Baez?
Reilly Opelka has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sebastian Baez - Reilly Opelka were as follows:
Latest results of Sebastian Baez
Latest results of Reilly Opelka
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Fritz T. (1) | Vacherot V. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Korda S. | Humbert U. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Baez S. | Opelka R. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Van De Zandschulp B. (LL) | Lehecka J. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Ruud C. (4) | Halys Q. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Kecmanovic M. | Wawrinka S. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Brooksby J. (PR) | Muller A. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Sonego L. | Davidovich Fokina A. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Mensik J. (7) | Bernet H. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Mpetshi Perricard G. | Fonseca J. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Collignon R. (SE) | Royer V. (LL) | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Giron M. | Shapovalov D. (9) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Auger-Aliassime F. (5) | Diallo G. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Goffin D. (LL) | Cilic M. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Bertola R. (Q) | Munar J. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Majchrzak K. (Q) | Shelton B. (2) | 1 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Fritz T. (1) | Humbert U. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Opelka R. | Van De Zandschulp B. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Ruud C. (4) | Wawrinka S. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Brooksby J. | Davidovich Fokina A. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Mensik J. (7) | Fonseca J. (WO.) | |
| 6 | Royer V. | Shapovalov D. (9) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Auger-Aliassime F. (5) | Cilic M. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Munar J. | Shelton B. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Humbert U. | Opelka R. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Ruud C. (RET.) (4) | Davidovich Fokina A. (8) | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Fonseca J. | Shapovalov D. (RET.) (9) | 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Auger-Aliassime F. (RET.) (5) | Munar J. | 0 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Humbert U. (RET.) | Davidovich Fokina A. (8) | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Fonseca J. | Munar J. | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Davidovich Fokina A. (8) | Fonseca J. | 0 : 2 |
