Pineto vs Forlì – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
04/03/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group B - Round 30
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256

Match Stats

Ball possession
51%49%
Total shots
612
Shots on target
43
Corner kicks
14
Yellow cards
14
Total shots
612
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
29
Corner kicks
14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 29', Coveri V. 🟨,
  • 30', 1 - 0, Baggi F. ,
  • 43', Manetti G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', Manetti G. , Mandrelli N. ,
  • 53', Coveri V. , De Risio C. ,
  • 57', 2 - 0, Schirone L. ,
  • 62', Biggi S. , Vigliotti G. ,
  • 62', D'Andrea F. , Pellegrino A. ,
  • 62', Baggi F. , Borsoi M. ,
  • 66', Selvini A. , Zagre A. ,
  • 67', 2 - 1, Franzolini A. ,
  • 69', Schirone L. 🟨,
  • 76', Germinario G. , Kraja E. ,
  • 82', 2 - 2, Trombetta M. ,
  • 86', Lombardi L. , Nebuloso G. ,
  • 88', De Risio C. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Cavallini G. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 3 - 2, Nebuloso G. ,

Chances of winning


Pineto
36.1%
Draw
30.1%
Forlì
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.9% 26.1% 27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6% 25.9% 27.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pineto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pineto's form might have worsened.
  • Forlì has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Forlì's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pineto than the current prediction. (+10.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pineto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forlì than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Forlì, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Pineto - Forlì Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.55
    (1.96)
    3.06
    (3.52)
    2.72
    (3.41)
    8.7%
    (8.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Pineto - Forlì?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Pineto will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Forlì will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DNB - Forlì (2.06) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Forlì (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 11).
    • Pineto has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Forlì has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Pineto won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Pineto won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pineto - Forlì were as follows:
    25.10.2025 Forlì - Pineto 1:1
    Latest results of Pineto
    28.02.2026 Perugia - Pineto 0:1
    21.02.2026 Livorno - Pineto 1:0
    16.02.2026 Pineto - Ternana 0:3
    08.02.2026 Pineto - Ascoli 1:3
    01.02.2026 Juventus U23 - Pineto 1:0
    Latest results of Forlì
    28.02.2026 Forlì - Sassari Torres 2:0
    23.02.2026 Ternana - Forlì 2:1
    12.02.2026 Forlì - Pontedera 2:0
    08.02.2026 Vis Pesaro - Forlì 1:1
    Italian Serie C Group B Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arezzo36248464:244080
    2Ascoli36238563:234077
    3Ravenna36227750:302073
    4Campobasso361710949:371259
    5Juventus U233614111146:43353
    6Pianese361117837:34350
    7Pineto3613111242:45-350
    8Gubbio3611151031:32-148
    9Ternana3614111144:40448
    10Vis Pesaro3611131238:36246
    11Livorno361271739:51-1243
    12Forli3610101641:52-1140
    13Carpi3610101635:48-1340
    14Perugia368141438:44-638
    15Guidonia368141430:36-638
    16Sambenedettese368131530:37-737
    17Torres366181232:45-1336
    18Bra366141637:54-1732
    19Pontedera363112227:62-3520
    20Rimini00000:000

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation