Result
1:3
29/10/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- DFB Pokal - 1/16-finals
- Referee: Zwayer F. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Mix |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 10, Sky Sport 5, Sky Sport 9, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 Norway | VG+ |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 12 |
 United-arab-emirates | Abu Dhabi Sports 2 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.63 | 1.89 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (412/503) | 74% (244/331) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.63 | 1.89 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 2.81 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 21 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (412/503) | 74% (244/331) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (26/53) | 50% (39/78) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (114/171) | 62% (58/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (3/21) | 33% (4/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 1.13 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 82% (14/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.81 | 1.03 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.19 | 0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 1', 0 - 1, Matanovic I. ⚽,
- 4', Gunter C. 🟨,
- 6', 0 - 2, Grifo V. ⚽, Matanovic I. (A),
- 20', 1 - 2, El Azzouzi A. ⚽, Schmidt K. (A),
- 22', Itten C. ↓, Schmidt D. ↑,
- 28', Zimmermann M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 50', Matanovic I. 🟨,
- 53', Zimmermann M. ↓, Heyer M. ↑,
- 63', Matanovic I. ↓, Adamu J. ↑,
- 63', Gunter C. ↓, Makengo J. ↑,
- 78', Grifo V. ↓, Scherhant D. ↑,
- 78', Schmidt D. ↓, Suso S. ↑,
- 79', Beste J. ↓, Rosenfelder M. ↑,
- 79', Rasmussen C. ↓, Raimund L. ↑,
- 88', Kubler L. ↓, Treu P. ↑,
- 89', Muller F. 🟨,
- 90', Lienhart P. 🟨,
- 90+3', 1 - 3, Scherhant D. ⚽, Suzuki Y. (A),
Chances of winning
Fortuna Düsseldorf
22.3% | Draw
25.7% | Freiburg
52% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fortuna Düsseldorf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fortuna Düsseldorf's form might have worsened.Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Freiburg's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf than the current prediction. (+7.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fortuna Düsseldorf, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (-8.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Freiburg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Fortuna Düsseldorf - Freiburg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.09 ↑
(3.1) |
3.65 ↑
(3.6) |
1.82 ↓
(2.16) |
6.9%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Fortuna Düsseldorf - Freiburg?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Fortuna (votes: 1 - 25%). Freiburg (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Freiburg will win
(16 of 16 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortuna won 3.
- Fortuna has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Freiburg's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Freiburg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Freiburg is a strong favorite.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Fortuna won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fortuna won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Fortuna Düsseldorf won against Freiburg?
Fortuna Düsseldorf has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Freiburg won against Fortuna Düsseldorf?
Freiburg has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fortuna Düsseldorf - Freiburg were as follows:
Latest results of Fortuna Düsseldorf
Latest results of Freiburg
Draw
2025/261/32-finals| 1 | Engers | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 : 5 |
| 2 | RW Essen | Dortmund | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Viktoria Koln | Paderborn | 1 : 3 |
| 4 | Grossaspach | Bayer Leverkusen | 0 : 4 |
| 5 | Delmenhorst | B. Monchengladbach | 2 : 3 |
| 6 | Meuselwitz | Karlsruher SC | 0 : 5 |
| 7 | Norderstedt | St. Pauli | 0 : 1 |
| 8 | Hansa Rostock | Hoffenheim | 0 : 4 |
| 9 | FC Gutersloh | Union Berlin | 0 : 5 |
| 10 | Arminia Bielefeld | Werder Bremen | 1 : 0 |
| 11 | Regensburg | FC Koln | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Wehen | Bayern Munich | 2 : 3 |
| 13 | Cottbus | Hannover | 1 : 0 |
| 14 | Sandhausen | RB Leipzig | 2 : 4 |
| 15 | Illertissen | Nurnberg | 4 : 3 |
| 16 | Saarbrucken | Magdeburg | 1 : 3 |
| 17 | Bahlinger | Heidenheim | 0 : 5 |
| 18 | Pirmasens | Hamburger SV | 1 : 2 |
| 19 | Hemelingen | Wolfsburg | 0 : 9 |
| 20 | FC 08 Homburg | Holstein Kiel | 0 : 2 |
| 21 | Hallescher | Augsburg | 0 : 2 |
| 22 | BFC Dynamo | Bochum | 1 : 3 |
| 23 | SG Dynamo Dresden | Mainz | 0 : 1 |
| 24 | Braunschweig | Stuttgart | 4 : 5 |
| 25 | Preussen Munster | Hertha Berlin | 0 : 1 |
| 26 | Ulm | Elversberg | 0 : 1 |
| 27 | Lohne | Greuther Furth | 0 : 2 |
| 28 | RSV Eintracht | Kaiserslautern | 0 : 7 |
| 29 | Schweinfurt | Dusseldorf | 2 : 4 |
| 30 | Lotte | Freiburg | 0 : 2 |
| 31 | Lubeck | Darmstadt | 1 : 2 |
| 32 | Lokomotive Leipzig | Schalke | 0 : 1 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Dortmund | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Paderborn | Bayer Leverkusen | 2 : 4 |
| 3 | B. Monchengladbach | Karlsruher SC | 3 : 1 |
| 4 | St. Pauli | Hoffenheim | 3 : 2 |
| 5 | Union Berlin | Arminia Bielefeld | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | FC Koln | Bayern Munich | 1 : 4 |
| 7 | Cottbus | RB Leipzig | 1 : 4 |
| 8 | Illertissen | Magdeburg | 0 : 3 |
| 9 | Heidenheim | Hamburger SV | 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Wolfsburg | Holstein Kiel | 0 : 1 |
| 11 | Augsburg | Bochum | 0 : 1 |
| 12 | Mainz | Stuttgart | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Hertha Berlin | Elversberg | 3 : 0 |
| 14 | Greuther Furth | Kaiserslautern | 0 : 1 |
| 15 | Dusseldorf | Freiburg | 1 : 3 |
| 16 | Darmstadt | Schalke | 4 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Dortmund | Bayer Leverkusen | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | B. Monchengladbach | St. Pauli | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Union Berlin | Bayern Munich | 2 : 3 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | Magdeburg | 3 : 1 |
| 5 | Hamburger SV | Holstein Kiel | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Bochum | Stuttgart | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Hertha Berlin | Kaiserslautern | 6 : 1 |
| 8 | Freiburg | Darmstadt | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Bayer Leverkusen | St. Pauli | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Bayern Munich | RB Leipzig | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Holstein Kiel | Stuttgart | 0 : 3 |
| 4 | Hertha Berlin | Freiburg | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Bayer Leverkusen | Bayern Munich | |
| 2 | Stuttgart | Freiburg | |
Final
