Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Freiburg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German DFB Pokal Fortuna Düsseldorf - Freiburg
Result
1:3
29/10/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • DFB Pokal - 1/16-finals
  • Referee: Zwayer F. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Mix
brazilBrazilDisney+
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 10, Sky Sport 5, Sky Sport 9, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoDisney+
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
norwayNorwayVG+
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 12
united-arab-emiratesUnited-arab-emiratesAbu Dhabi Sports 2
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.631.89
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
1920
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
82
Passes
82% (412/503)74% (244/331)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
1.631.89
xG on target (xGOT)
1.032.81
Total shots
1920
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
67
Blocked Shots
97
Shots inside the Box
1313
Shots outside the Box
67
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
82
Touches in opposition box
2832
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
821
Passes
82% (412/503)74% (244/331)
Long passes
49% (26/53)50% (39/78)
Passes in final third
67% (114/171)62% (58/93)
Crosses
14% (3/21)33% (4/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.171.13
Throw-ins
1912
Fouls
218
Tackles
82% (9/11)82% (14/17)
Duels won
4260
Clearances
1615
Interceptions
912
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
2.811.03
Goals prevented
-0.190.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 1', 0 - 1, Matanovic I. ,
  • 4', Gunter C. 🟨,
  • 6', 0 - 2, Grifo V. , Matanovic I. (A),
  • 20', 1 - 2, El Azzouzi A. , Schmidt K. (A),
  • 22', Itten C. , Schmidt D. ,
  • 28', Zimmermann M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 50', Matanovic I. 🟨,
  • 53', Zimmermann M. , Heyer M. ,
  • 63', Matanovic I. , Adamu J. ,
  • 63', Gunter C. , Makengo J. ,
  • 78', Grifo V. , Scherhant D. ,
  • 78', Schmidt D. , Suso S. ,
  • 79', Beste J. , Rosenfelder M. ,
  • 79', Rasmussen C. , Raimund L. ,
  • 88', Kubler L. , Treu P. ,
  • 89', Muller F. 🟨,
  • 90', Lienhart P. 🟨,
  • 90+3', 1 - 3, Scherhant D. , Suzuki Y. (A),

Chances of winning


Fortuna Düsseldorf
22.3%
Draw
25.7%
Freiburg
52%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.3% 26.1% 43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2% 26% 43.7%

Fortuna Düsseldorf - Freiburg Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
4.09
(3.1)
3.65
(3.6)
1.82
(2.16)
6.9%
(6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Fortuna Düsseldorf - Freiburg?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Freiburg (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Freiburg will win (16 of 16 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortuna won 3.
    • Fortuna has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Freiburg's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Freiburg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Freiburg is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Fortuna won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.1:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fortuna won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
    Latest results of Fortuna Düsseldorf
    Latest results of Freiburg