Result
1:2
23/10/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Sarreguemines, hard - 1/8-finals
Chances of winning
Calvin Mueller
68.2% | Matt Ponchet
31.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Calvin Mueller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Matt Ponchet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calvin Mueller than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matt Ponchet than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Calvin Mueller - Matt Ponchet Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.36 ↓
(1.37) |
|
2.92 ↓
(2.99) |
7.8%
(6.4%) | |
Preview Facts
- Mueller is ranked ATP: 978. Ponchet is ranked ATP: 1620.
- Mueller is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Ponchet has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Mueller may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Mueller is the team to beat.
- The players have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Calvin Mueller won against Matt Ponchet?
Calvin Mueller has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Matt Ponchet won against Calvin Mueller?
Matt Ponchet has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Calvin Mueller - Matt Ponchet were as follows:
Latest results of Calvin Mueller
Latest results of Matt Ponchet
Draw
20251/16-finals| 1 | Paris T. (1) | Wessels L. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Schell N. | Djonov C. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Gobat A. | Handel T. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Antoni R. | Donald M. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Kivattsev K. (3) | Jones B. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Knaff A. | Andres R. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Thurner N. | Nagel A. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Volpi G. | Vandermeersch C. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Oetzbach A. (6) | Alimli M. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Catry R. | Mridha J. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Livet Novkirichka F. | Freire Da Silva A. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Wehnelt K. | Romano F. (4) | 2 : 1 |
| 13 | Wenger D. (8) | Fassbender B. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Marysko V. | Parizzia N. | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Gil Garcia A. | Mueller C. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Ponchet M. | Beauge M. (2) | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Paris T. (1) | Djonov C. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Gobat A. | Donald M. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Jones B. (WO.) | Knaff A. | |
| 4 | Nagel A. | Vandermeersch C. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Oetzbach A. (6) | Mridha J. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Freire Da Silva A. | Wehnelt K. | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Wenger D. (8) | Parizzia N. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Mueller C. | Ponchet M. | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Paris T. (1) | Donald M. (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Jones B. | Nagel A. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Oetzbach A. (6) | Freire Da Silva A. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Parizzia N. | Ponchet M. | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Paris T. (1) | Nagel A. | |
| 2 | Freire Da Silva A. | Ponchet M. | |
Final
