Result
0:1
26/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 21
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 87', 0 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Negele Arsi Ketema 42.6% | Draw 32.2% | Ethiopia Bunna 25.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Negele Arsi Ketema has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)Ethiopia Bunna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Negele Arsi Ketema than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ethiopia Bunna than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Negele Arsi Ketema - Ethiopia Bunna Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.13 ↓ (2.25) |
2.82 ↓ (3) |
3.6 ↑ (3.22) |
10.1% (8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Negele Arsi Ketema - Ethiopia Bunna?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Negele Arsi Ketema will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Ethiopia Bunna will win (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 and 15).
- Negele Arsi Ketema is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Ethiopia Bunna's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Ethiopia Bunna may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Negele Arsi Ketema could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Negele Arsi Ketema won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Negele Arsi Ketema won against Ethiopia Bunna?
Negele Arsi Ketema has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ethiopia Bunna won against Negele Arsi Ketema?
Ethiopia Bunna has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Negele Arsi Ketema - Ethiopia Bunna were as follows:
23.10.2025
Ethiopia Bunna
-
Negele Arsi Ketema
2:1
Latest results of Negele Arsi Ketema
Latest results of Ethiopia Bunna
Ethiopian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 21 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 26:11 | 15 | 39 |
| 2 | Hawassa | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 24:13 | 11 | 36 |
| 3 | Negele Arsi Ketema | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 22:14 | 8 | 36 |
| 4 | Fasil Kenema | 21 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 16:13 | 3 | 33 |
| 5 | Adama City | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 19:17 | 2 | 32 |
| 6 | Mechal | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 27:19 | 8 | 31 |
| 7 | Ethio Electric | 21 | 6 | 10 | 5 | 11:11 | 0 | 28 |
| 8 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 21 | 5 | 12 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 27 |
| 9 | Hadiya Hossana | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 18:21 | -3 | 27 |
| 10 | Shire Endaselassie | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 15:15 | 0 | 26 |
| 11 | Ethiopia Bunna | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 17:20 | -3 | 26 |
| 12 | Dire Dawa | 21 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 14:21 | -7 | 25 |
| 13 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 21 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 26:27 | -1 | 24 |
| 14 | St. George | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 16:17 | -1 | 24 |
| 15 | Ethiopian Insurance | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 15:16 | -1 | 23 |
| 16 | Sheger Ketema | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 17:20 | -3 | 23 |
| 17 | Welayta Dicha | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 22:24 | -2 | 22 |
| 18 | Mekelle 70 Enderta | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 22 |
| 19 | Welwalo Adigrat | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 15:23 | -8 | 21 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 21 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 13:23 | -10 | 16 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation