Result
1:1
14/03/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 27
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 65', 1 - 0, Prat M. ⚽,
- 73', 1 - 1, Erdozia O. ⚽,
- 90+1', Camara Hermida A. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Ebro
29.6% | Draw
31.4% | Sestao
39% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ebro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ebro's form might have worsened.Sestao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sestao's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ebro than the current prediction. (+9.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ebro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sestao than the current prediction. (-7.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sestao, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ebro - Sestao Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.1 ↑
(2.47) |
2.92 ↓
(2.98) |
2.35 ↓
(2.71) |
9.1%
(11.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 and 7)
- Ebro is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Sestao is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- We predict that Ebro will win today's game, with odds of 2.85.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ebro won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Ebro won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Ebro won against Sestao?
Ebro has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sestao won against Ebro?
Sestao has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ebro - Sestao were as follows:
26.10.2025
Sestao
-
Ebro
1:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | R. Union ✔ | 30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 56:26 | 30 | 65 |
| 2 | Alaves B | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 34:18 | 16 | 52 |
| 3 | Utebo FC | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 52:39 | 13 | 51 |
| 4 | UD Logrones | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 64:32 | 32 | 51 |
| 5 | Tudelano | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 50:36 | 14 | 50 |
| 6 | Sestao | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 36:28 | 8 | 45 |
| 7 | Amorebieta | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 31:26 | 5 | 45 |
| 8 | Eibar B | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 35:36 | -1 | 44 |
| 9 | Ebro | 30 | 9 | 16 | 5 | 39:31 | 8 | 43 |
| 10 | Basconia | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 44:40 | 4 | 39 |
| 11 | Gernika | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 31:38 | -7 | 39 |
| 12 | Naxara | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 33:43 | -10 | 35 |
| 13 | Beasain | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 34:41 | -7 | 32 |
| 14 | Ejea | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 30:44 | -14 | 31 |
| 15 | SD Logrones | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 20:37 | -17 | 31 |
| 16 | Mutilvera | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 30:54 | -24 | 30 |
| 17 | Zaragoza B | 30 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 26:52 | -26 | 25 |
| 18 | Alfaro | 30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 29:53 | -24 | 22 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
R. Union is Confirmed as championsnQualified for
