Mathys Erhard vs Alejandro Moro Canas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Hamburg Challenger Men Mathys Erhard - Alejandro Moro Canas
Result
0:2
23/10/2025 at 05:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hamburg, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
43
Double Faults
13
1st Serve Percentage
62%70%
1st Serve Points Won
72% (36/50)67% (35/52)
2nd Serve Points Won
29% (9/31)45% (10/22)
Break Points Saved
50% (3/6)78% (7/9)
1st Return Points Won
33% (17/52)30% (15/50)
2nd Return Points Won
55% (12/22)71% (22/31)
Break Points Converted
22% (2/9)50% (3/6)
Service Points Won
55% (44/80)61% (45/74)
Return Points Won
39% (29/74)45% (36/80)
Total Points Won
47% (73/154)53% (81/154)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
73% (8/11)82% (9/11)
Return Games Won
18% (2/11)27% (3/11)
Total Games Won
45% (10/22)55% (12/22)

Chances of winning


Mathys Erhard
36.1%
Alejandro Moro Canas
63.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.6% 67.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9% 69.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mathys Erhard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Alejandro Moro Canas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mathys Erhard than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mathys Erhard that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Moro Canas than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alejandro Moro Canas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Mathys Erhard - Alejandro Moro Canas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.62
    (2.83)

    1.46
    (1.37)
    6.7%
    (8.3%)
    Preview Facts
    • Erhard is ranked ATP: 323. Moro Canas is ranked ATP: 256.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Erhard may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Moro Canas could have a small edge in this match.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Mathys Erhard
    Latest results of Alejandro Moro Canas
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Merida Aguilar D. (1)Geerts M.1 : 2
    2Andreev A. (PR)Gadamauri B. (Q)0 : 2
    3Negritu Ch.Erhard M.0 : 2
    4Opitz J. (Q)Moro Canas A. (7)1 : 2
    5Engel J. (4)Jong S. (Q)2 : 0
    6Stebe C. (PR)McDonald N. (WC)2 : 0
    7Mackenzie J. (WC)Forti F. (PR)2 : 0
    8Coulibaly E.Dodig M. (8)0 : 2
    9Loffhagen G. (5)Topo M.2 : 1
    10Vives Marcos P. (Q)Glinka D.0 : 2
    11Martineau M.Moeller M. (Q)2 : 0
    12Squire H.Onclin G. (3)2 : 0
    13Cina F. (6)Karol M. (Q)2 : 1
    14Kuzmanov D.Petkovic M. (WC)2 : 1
    15Brunclik P. (NG)Gentzsch T.0 : 2
    16Mrva M. (SE)Rodesch C. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Geerts M.Gadamauri B.0 : 2
    2Erhard M.Moro Canas A. (7)0 : 2
    3Engel J. (4)Stebe C.2 : 1
    4Mackenzie J.Dodig M. (8)1 : 2
    5Loffhagen G. (WO.) (5)Glinka D.
    6Martineau M.Squire H.0 : 2
    7Cina F. (6)Kuzmanov D.2 : 0
    8Gentzsch T.Rodesch C. (RET.) (2)0 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Gadamauri B.Moro Canas A. (7)1 : 2
    2Engel J. (4)Dodig M. (8)2 : 1
    3Loffhagen G. (5)Squire H.2 : 0
    4Cina F. (6)Gentzsch T.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Moro Canas A. (7)Engel J. (4)0 : 2
    2Loffhagen G. (5)Cina F. (6)0 : 2

    Final
    1Engel J. (4)Cina F. (6)2 : 0