Kristjan Tamm vs Hayato Matsuoka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ITF M25 Huzhou Men Kristjan Tamm - Hayato Matsuoka
Result
1:2
23/10/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Huzhou, hard - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Last 10 Balls
19

Chances of winning


Kristjan Tamm
31.3%
Hayato Matsuoka
68.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.9% 66.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7% 70.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kristjan Tamm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • Hayato Matsuoka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kristjan Tamm than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hayato Matsuoka than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • Kristjan Tamm - Hayato Matsuoka Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.98
    (2.75)

    1.36
    (1.41)
    7.2%
    (7.3%)
    Preview Facts
    • Tamm is ranked ATP: 923. Matsuoka is ranked ATP: 663.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Matsuoka could have a small edge in this match.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Kristjan Tamm
    22.10.2025 Luca Castelnuovo - Kristjan Tamm Castelnuovo L. retired
    20.10.2025 Kristjan Tamm - Yuquan Jin 2:0
    Latest results of Hayato Matsuoka
    Draw
    2025

    1/16-finals
    1Castelnuovo L. (1)Wu Kai An2 : 0
    2Tamm K.Jin Y.2 : 0
    3Zheng Z.Hongyu Y.2 : 0
    4Zhao L.Matsuoka H. (6)0 : 2
    5Imamura M. (3)Ferguson C.0 : 2
    6Du M.Han X.2 : 0
    7Liu H.Chen Z. H.2 : 0
    8Mingzhou Z.Zhang T. (5)0 : 2
    9Trongcharoenchaikul W. (8)Meng F.1 : 2
    10Haliak M.Tang S.2 : 0
    11Dong Z.Lomakin G.0 : 2
    12Masabayashi T.Lee K. (4)1 : 2
    13Xiao L. (7)Huang R.2 : 0
    14Sun QianYang X.2 : 0
    15Forcano I.Chen X. D.0 : 2
    16Wang X.Santillan A. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Castelnuovo L. (RET.) (1)Tamm K.0 : 1
    2Zheng Z. (RET.)Matsuoka H. (6)0 : 1
    3Ferguson C.Du M.2 : 0
    4Liu H.Zhang T. (5)2 : 1
    5Meng F.Haliak M.0 : 2
    6Lomakin G.Lee K. (4)0 : 2
    7Xiao L. (7)Sun Qian1 : 2
    8Chen X. D.Santillan A. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Tamm K.Matsuoka H. (6)1 : 2
    2Ferguson C.Liu H.2 : 0
    3Haliak M.Lee K. (4)0 : 2
    4Sun Qian (RET.)Santillan A. (2)0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Matsuoka H. (6)Ferguson C.0 : 2
    2Lee K. (RET.) (4)Santillan A. (2)0 : 1

    Final
    1Ferguson C.Santillan A. (2)0 : 2