Result
27/10/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Paris, hard - 1/32-finals
Chances of winning
Denis Shapovalov 46.5% | Joao Fonseca 53.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Denis Shapovalov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)Joao Fonseca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Denis Shapovalov that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joao Fonseca than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Joao Fonseca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Denis Shapovalov - Joao Fonseca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.06 ↓ (2.19) |
|
1.77 ↑ (1.63) |
5.1% (7%) | |
Preview Facts
- Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 23. Fonseca is ranked ATP: 46.
- Shapovalov has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Fonseca is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Fonseca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
- We predict that Fonseca will win today's game, with odds of 1.78.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Shapovalov won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Denis Shapovalov won against Joao Fonseca?
Denis Shapovalov has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Joao Fonseca won against Denis Shapovalov?
Joao Fonseca has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Denis Shapovalov - Joao Fonseca were as follows:
24.10.2025
Joao Fonseca
-
Denis Shapovalov
Shapovalov D. retired
Latest results of Denis Shapovalov
Latest results of Joao Fonseca
Draw
Singles - QualificationSemi-finals| 1 | Brooksby J. (1) | Van De Zandschulp B. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Blanchet U. (WC) | Quinn E. (12) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Korda S. (2) | Kopriva V. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Herbert P. (WC) | Royer V. (10) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Mannarino A. (3) | Hanfmann Y. (Alt) | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Fearnley J. | Arnaldi M. (13) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Etcheverry T. M. (4) | Martinez P. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | De Jong J. | Majchrzak K. (11) | 2 : 1 |
| 9 | Opelka R. (5) | Bellucci M. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Vukic A. | Walton A. (14) | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Dzumhur D. (6) | Halys Q. | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Jacquet K. (WC) | Kovacevic A. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Comesana F. (7) | van Assche L. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Goffin D. | Medjedovic H. (9) | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Van De Zandschulp B. | Quinn E. (12) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Korda S. (2) | Royer V. (10) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Hanfmann Y. | Fearnley J. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Etcheverry T. M. (4) | De Jong J. | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Opelka R. (5) | Vukic A. (WO.) | |
| 6 | Dzumhur D. (6) | Kovacevic A. (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Comesana F. (7) | Goffin D. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |