Nicolas Parizzia vs Matt Ponchet – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ITF M25 Sarreguemines Men Nicolas Parizzia - Matt Ponchet
Result
0:2
24/10/2025 at 07:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Sarreguemines, hard - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Last 10 Balls
55

Chances of winning


Nicolas Parizzia
46%
Matt Ponchet
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.8% 47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5% 47.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nicolas Parizzia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nicolas Parizzia's form might have worsened.
  • Matt Ponchet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Matt Ponchet's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Parizzia than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nicolas Parizzia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matt Ponchet than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Matt Ponchet, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Nicolas Parizzia - Matt Ponchet Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.02
    (1.75)

    1.72
    (1.96)
    7.6%
    (8.2%)
    Preview Facts
    • Parizzia is ranked ATP: 1199. Ponchet is ranked ATP: 1620.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Ponchet may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Nicolas Parizzia
    Latest results of Matt Ponchet
    Draw
    2025

    1/16-finals
    1Paris T. (1)Wessels L.2 : 1
    2Schell N.Djonov C.1 : 2
    3Gobat A.Handel T.2 : 0
    4Antoni R.Donald M. (7)0 : 2
    5Kivattsev K. (3)Jones B.1 : 2
    6Knaff A.Andres R.2 : 0
    7Thurner N.Nagel A.0 : 2
    8Volpi G.Vandermeersch C. (5)1 : 2
    9Oetzbach A. (6)Alimli M.2 : 0
    10Catry R.Mridha J.0 : 2
    11Livet Novkirichka F.Freire Da Silva A.0 : 2
    12Wehnelt K.Romano F. (4)2 : 1
    13Wenger D. (8)Fassbender B.2 : 1
    14Marysko V.Parizzia N.1 : 2
    15Gil Garcia A.Mueller C.0 : 2
    16Ponchet M.Beauge M. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Paris T. (1)Djonov C.2 : 0
    2Gobat A.Donald M. (7)0 : 2
    3Jones B. (WO.)Knaff A.
    4Nagel A.Vandermeersch C. (5)2 : 0
    5Oetzbach A. (6)Mridha J.2 : 0
    6Freire Da Silva A.Wehnelt K.2 : 1
    7Wenger D. (8)Parizzia N.1 : 2
    8Mueller C.Ponchet M.1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Paris T. (1)Donald M. (7)2 : 0
    2Jones B.Nagel A.1 : 2
    3Oetzbach A. (6)Freire Da Silva A.0 : 2
    4Parizzia N.Ponchet M.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Paris T. (1)Nagel A.
    2Freire Da Silva A.Ponchet M.

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2