Afragolese vs Martina Calcio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
16/11/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group H - Round 12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 90+8', 1 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Afragolese
23.6%
Draw
26.1%
Martina Calcio
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.9% 25.7% 50.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27% 22.7% 44.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Afragolese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Martina Calcio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Afragolese than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Martina Calcio than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Martina Calcio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Afragolese - Martina Calcio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.86
    (3.8)
    3.48
    (3.53)
    1.81
    (1.8)
    10%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: ) and 6).
    • In recent matches, Afragolese has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Martina is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Afragolese may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Martina is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Afragolese won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Afragolese won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Afragolese - Martina Calcio were as follows:
    29.01.2023 Martina Calcio - Afragolese 1:1
    28.09.2022 Afragolese - Martina Calcio 3:0
    Latest results of Afragolese
    26.10.2025 Acerrana - Afragolese 0:4
    19.10.2025 Afragolese - Barletta 3:2
    12.10.2025 Nardo - Afragolese 3:0
    05.10.2025 Afragolese - Manfredonia 2:1
    Latest results of Martina Calcio
    Italian Serie D - Group H Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barletta26149338:132551
    2Martina Calcio26156535:201551
    3Paganese26155625:17850
    4Citta di Fasano26137635:28746
    5Afragolese26126839:31842
    6A.C.D. Nardo261011533:24941
    7Gravina26116933:33039
    8Virtus Francavilla26910736:261037
    9SS Nola 192526107938:37137
    10Fidelis Andria26971027:23434
    11Heraclea26951222:26-432
    12Manfredonia26881025:30-532
    13Francavilla26871125:29-431
    14Real Normanna26612818:19-130
    15Sarnese266101037:40-328
    16Ferrandina26661416:29-1324
    17Pompei26461612:29-1718
    18Acerrana26341915:55-4013

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: )
          Relegation