Jacob Fearnley vs Matteo Arnaldi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Paris Jacob Fearnley - Matteo Arnaldi
Result
2:0
25/10/2025 at 10:55 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Paris - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
04
Double Faults
37
1st Serve Percentage
65%49%
1st Serve Points Won
74% (29/39)65% (26/40)
2nd Serve Points Won
52% (11/21)45% (19/42)
Break Points Saved
75% (3/4)71% (10/14)
1st Return Points Won
35% (14/40)26% (10/39)
2nd Return Points Won
55% (23/42)48% (10/21)
Break Points Converted
29% (4/14)25% (1/4)
Winners
1010
Unforced Errors
915
Net Points Won
61% (11/18)45% (5/11)
Service Points Won
67% (40/60)55% (45/82)
Return Points Won
45% (37/82)33% (20/60)
Total Points Won
54% (77/142)46% (65/142)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
90% (9/10)60% (6/10)
Return Games Won
40% (4/10)10% (1/10)
Total Games Won
65% (13/20)35% (7/20)

Chances of winning


Jacob Fearnley
54.1%
Matteo Arnaldi
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.9% 50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9% 52.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jacob Fearnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • Matteo Arnaldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jacob Fearnley than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jacob Fearnley that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matteo Arnaldi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Jacob Fearnley - Matteo Arnaldi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.73
    (1.88)

    2.04
    (1.87)
    6.8%
    (6.7%)
    What is the prediction for Jacob Fearnley - Matteo Arnaldi?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Fearnley (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Jacob Fearnley will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Fearnley is ranked ATP: 81. Arnaldi is ranked ATP: 72.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Fearnley may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Jacob Fearnley
    Latest results of Matteo Arnaldi