Reilly Opelka vs Mattia Bellucci – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Paris Reilly Opelka - Mattia Bellucci
Result
2:0
25/10/2025 at 12:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Paris - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
85
Double Faults
41
1st Serve Percentage
54%67%
1st Serve Points Won
87% (27/31)83% (24/29)
2nd Serve Points Won
62% (16/26)57% (8/14)
Break Points Saved
100% (1/1)50% (2/4)
1st Return Points Won
17% (5/29)13% (4/31)
2nd Return Points Won
43% (6/14)38% (10/26)
Break Points Converted
50% (2/4)0% (0/1)
Winners
00
Unforced Errors
00
Net Points Won
0% (0/0)0% (0/0)
Service Points Won
75% (43/57)74% (32/43)
Return Points Won
26% (11/43)25% (14/57)
Total Points Won
54% (54/100)46% (46/100)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
100% (10/10)78% (7/9)
Return Games Won
22% (2/9)0% (0/10)
Total Games Won
63% (12/19)37% (7/19)

Chances of winning


Reilly Opelka
55.2%
Mattia Bellucci
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.8% 37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.5% 34.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Reilly Opelka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Reilly Opelka's form might have worsened.
  • Mattia Bellucci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mattia Bellucci's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reilly Opelka than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Reilly Opelka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mattia Bellucci, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Reilly Opelka - Mattia Bellucci Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.49)

    2.11
    (2.52)
    6.1%
    (6.8%)
    What is the prediction for Reilly Opelka - Mattia Bellucci?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Opelka will win (votes: 15 - 93.8%). Bellucci will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Opelka: 82%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Reilly Opelka will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Opelka is ranked ATP: 62. Bellucci is ranked ATP: 77.
    • Opelka is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Bellucci is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Bellucci may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Reilly Opelka
    Latest results of Mattia Bellucci