Crystal Palace vs AZ Alkmaar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
06/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - League phase - Round 3
  • Referee: Chiffi D. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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australiaAustraliaStan Sport
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germanyGermanyRTL+
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peruPeruDisney+
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polandPolandPolsat Sport Extra 4
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russiaRussiaOkko Sport
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vietnamVietnamOn Golf, ON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.811.19
Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
219
Shots on target
74
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
21
Passes
68% (186/273)81% (413/507)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
3.811.19
xG on target (xGOT)
3.020.55
Total shots
219
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
143
Shots outside the Box
76
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
21
Touches in opposition box
3920
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
1414
Passes
68% (186/273)81% (413/507)
Long passes
37% (19/52)49% (33/67)
Passes in final third
50% (47/94)66% (87/131)
Crosses
10% (1/10)33% (4/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.950.82
Throw-ins
1820
Fouls
1414
Tackles
69% (24/35)53% (9/17)
Duels won
6753
Clearances
2327
Interceptions
129
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
0.553.02
Goals prevented
-0.450.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 17', Mateta J. (Pen),
  • 22', 1 - 0, Lacroix M. ,
  • 45+4', 2 - 0, Sarr I. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 53', Sarr I. 🟨,
  • 54', 2 - 1, Mijnans S. , Smit K. (A),
  • 57', 3 - 1, Sarr I. , Mateta J. (A),
  • 61', Dijkstra E. , de Wit M. ,
  • 62', Weslley Patati , Jensen I. ,
  • 64', Hughes W. , Wharton A. ,
  • 65', Sarr I. , Kamada D. ,
  • 67', Sadiq I. 🟨,
  • 73', Pino Y. , Devenny J. ,
  • 74', Parrott T. , Zeefuik L. ,
  • 75', Smit K. 🟨,
  • 80', Smit K. , Boogaard K. ,
  • 80', Koopmeiners P. , Dekker M. ,
  • 85', Munoz D. , Clyne N. ,
  • 86', Mateta J. , Uche C. ,
  • 90+3', Guehi M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Crystal Palace
66.3%
Draw
19.7%
AZ Alkmaar
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.2% 21.7% 15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64% 22% 14.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Crystal Palace has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crystal Palace than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • Crystal Palace - AZ Alkmaar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.44
    (1.48)
    4.84
    (4.3)
    6.88
    (6.2)
    4.7%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Crystal Palace - AZ Alkmaar?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Crystal Palace will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). AZ will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Crystal Palace: 44.1%94.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Crystal Palace (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Crystal Palace (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Crystal Palace (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Crystal Palace (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Crystal Palace has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • AZ is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Crystal Palace may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Crystal Palace is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Crystal Palace: Doucoure C. (Knee Injury) Kporha C. (Back Injury) Nketiah E. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in AZ: Clasie J. (Inactive) Daal R. (Injury) Kasius D. (Injury) Kwakman D. (Injury) Maikuma S. (Knee Injury) Meerdink M. (Injury) Sin M. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Crystal Palace: Kamada D. (Injury) Wharton A. (Illness)
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Crystal Palace
    Latest results of AZ Alkmaar
    26.10.2025 AZ Alkmaar - Utrecht 4:1
    18.10.2025 Ajax - AZ Alkmaar 0:2
    05.10.2025 AZ Alkmaar - Telstar 2:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1KuPS (21)Lech Poznan (11)0 : 1, 0 : 2
    2Shakhtar Donetsk (6)Bye
    3Noah (19)AZ Alkmaar (14)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    4Sparta Prague (4)Bye
    5Zrinjski (23)Crystal Palace (10)0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6AEK Larnaca (8)Bye
    7Jagiellonia (17)Fiorentina (15)4 : 2, 0 : 3
    8Rakow (2)Bye
    9Shkendija (22)Samsunspor (12)0 : 4, 0 : 1
    10Rayo Vallecano (5)Bye
    11Drita (20)Celje (13)2 : 3, 2 : 3
    12AEK Athens (3)Bye
    13Sigma Olomouc (24)Lausanne (9)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    14Mainz (7)Bye
    15Omonia (18)Rijeka (16)1 : 3, 0 : 1
    16Strasbourg (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Lech Poznan (11)Shakhtar Donetsk (6)
    2AZ Alkmaar (14)Sparta Prague (4)
    3Crystal Palace (10)AEK Larnaca (8)
    4Fiorentina (15)Rakow (2)
    5Samsunspor (12)Rayo Vallecano (5)
    6Celje (13)AEK Athens (3)
    7Sigma Olomouc (24)Mainz (7)
    8Rijeka (16)Strasbourg (1)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2