Result
3:1
06/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Conference League - League phase - Round 3
- Referee: Chiffi D. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Africa | DStv Now |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Armenia | Fast Sports |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD |
Australia | Stan Sport |
Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 3 |
Belgium | Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4 |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go |
Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5 |
Denmark | Disney+ |
Finland | Viaplay |
France | Canal+ Live 10 |
Germany | RTL+ |
Greece | ANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 8 |
Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2, Now Player |
Iceland | SÝN Sport 2, Viaplay |
Indonesia | beIN Connect, Vidio |
Kosovo | Arena Premium 3 |
Laos | beIN Connect |
Macao | TDM TV |
Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 1, Sooka |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 1 |
Mexico | Disney+ |
Mongolia | Premier Sports 5 |
Myanmar | Canal+ Myanmar |
Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport 3 |
New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
Norway | TV3+, Viaplay |
Peru | Disney+ |
Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
Poland | Polsat Sport Extra 4 |
Portugal | DAZN 4, DAZN / App |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
Singapore | beIN Sports 3 |
South-africa | SuperSport Variety 3 |
South-america | ViX Latin America |
Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 12 |
Sweden | Disney+ |
Switzerland | Blue Sport 22, Blue Sport 22 |
Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 7, MEGOGO Ukraine |
United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1 |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | Paramount+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Vietnam | On Golf, ON Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.81 | 1.19 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (186/273) | 81% (413/507) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.81 | 1.19 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.02 | 0.55 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (186/273) | 81% (413/507) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (19/52) | 49% (33/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 50% (47/94) | 66% (87/131) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (1/10) | 33% (4/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.82 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (24/35) | 53% (9/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 67 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.55 | 3.02 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.45 | 0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 17', Mateta J. (Pen),
- 22', 1 - 0, Lacroix M. ⚽,
- 45+4', 2 - 0, Sarr I. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 53', Sarr I. 🟨,
- 54', 2 - 1, Mijnans S. ⚽, Smit K. (A),
- 57', 3 - 1, Sarr I. ⚽, Mateta J. (A),
- 61', Dijkstra E. ↓, de Wit M. ↑,
- 62', Weslley Patati ↓, Jensen I. ↑,
- 64', Hughes W. ↓, Wharton A. ↑,
- 65', Sarr I. ↓, Kamada D. ↑,
- 67', Sadiq I. 🟨,
- 73', Pino Y. ↓, Devenny J. ↑,
- 74', Parrott T. ↓, Zeefuik L. ↑,
- 75', Smit K. 🟨,
- 80', Smit K. ↓, Boogaard K. ↑,
- 80', Koopmeiners P. ↓, Dekker M. ↑,
- 85', Munoz D. ↓, Clyne N. ↑,
- 86', Mateta J. ↓, Uche C. ↑,
- 90+3', Guehi M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Crystal Palace 66.3% | Draw 19.7% | AZ Alkmaar 14% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crystal Palace has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crystal Palace than the current prediction. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Crystal Palace - AZ Alkmaar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.44 ↓ (1.48) |
4.84 ↑ (4.3) |
6.88 ↑ (6.2) |
4.7% (7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Crystal Palace - AZ Alkmaar?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Crystal Palace will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). AZ will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crystal Palace: 44.1% – 94.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Crystal Palace (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Crystal Palace (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Crystal Palace (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Crystal Palace (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Crystal Palace has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- AZ is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Crystal Palace may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Crystal Palace is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Crystal Palace: Doucoure C.
(Knee Injury)
Kporha C.
(Back Injury)
Nketiah E.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in AZ: Clasie J.
(Inactive)
Daal R.
(Injury)
Kasius D.
(Injury)
Kwakman D.
(Injury)
Maikuma S.
(Knee Injury)
Meerdink M.
(Injury)
Sin M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Crystal Palace: Kamada D.
(Injury)
Wharton A.
(Illness)
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Crystal Palace won against AZ Alkmaar?
Crystal Palace has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AZ Alkmaar won against Crystal Palace?
AZ Alkmaar has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Crystal Palace - AZ Alkmaar were as follows:
Latest results of Crystal Palace
Latest results of AZ Alkmaar
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | KuPS (21) | Lech Poznan (11) | 0 : 1, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Noah (19) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | 0 : 4, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Sparta Prague (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Zrinjski (23) | Crystal Palace (10) | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | AEK Larnaca (8) | Bye | |
| 7 | Jagiellonia (17) | Fiorentina (15) | 4 : 2, 0 : 3 |
| 8 | Rakow (2) | Bye | |
| 9 | Shkendija (22) | Samsunspor (12) | 0 : 4, 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Drita (20) | Celje (13) | 2 : 3, 2 : 3 |
| 12 | AEK Athens (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Lausanne (9) | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 14 | Mainz (7) | Bye | |
| 15 | Omonia (18) | Rijeka (16) | 1 : 3, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Strasbourg (1) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Lech Poznan (11) | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | |
| 2 | AZ Alkmaar (14) | Sparta Prague (4) | |
| 3 | Crystal Palace (10) | AEK Larnaca (8) | |
| 4 | Fiorentina (15) | Rakow (2) | |
| 5 | Samsunspor (12) | Rayo Vallecano (5) | |
| 6 | Celje (13) | AEK Athens (3) | |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Mainz (7) | |
| 8 | Rijeka (16) | Strasbourg (1) | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal