Result
1:2
15/03/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group I - Round 27
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 8', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 35', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 51', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Vigor Lamezia
54.9% | Draw
26.5% | Castrumfavara
18.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vigor Lamezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vigor Lamezia's performance.Castrumfavara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Castrumfavara might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vigor Lamezia than the current prediction. (-20.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vigor Lamezia that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castrumfavara than the current prediction. (+16.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Castrumfavara could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Vigor Lamezia - Castrumfavara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.67 ↓
(2.79) |
3.46 ↑
(2.94) |
4.94 ↑
(2.47) |
9%
(10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Vigor Lamezia - Castrumfavara?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Vigor Lamezia (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vigor Lamezia (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is .
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
- Vigor Lamezia is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Castrumfavara has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Vigor Lamezia might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vigor Lamezia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Vigor Lamezia won against Castrumfavara?
Vigor Lamezia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Castrumfavara won against Vigor Lamezia?
Castrumfavara has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vigor Lamezia - Castrumfavara were as follows:
02.11.2025
Castrumfavara
-
Vigor Lamezia
1:1
Latest results of Vigor Lamezia
Latest results of Castrumfavara
Italian Serie D - Group I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Savoia | 33 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 60:29 | 31 | 66 |
| 2 | Nissa | 33 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 47:26 | 21 | 64 |
| 3 | Reggina | 33 | 19 | 6 | 8 | 40:21 | 19 | 63 |
| 4 | Athletic Palermo ✔ | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 57:46 | 11 | 57 |
| 5 | Gelbison ✔ | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 43:32 | 11 | 57 |
| 6 | Igea Virtus | 33 | 15 | 13 | 5 | 48:32 | 16 | 53 |
| 7 | Sambiase | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 36:26 | 10 | 53 |
| 8 | Milazzo | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 31:35 | -4 | 44 |
| 9 | Gela | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 41:43 | -2 | 43 |
| 10 | Vigor Lamezia | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 39:34 | 5 | 39 |
| 11 | Castrumfavara | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 36:45 | -9 | 37 |
| 12 | Enna | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 48:51 | -3 | 35 |
| 13 | USD Ragusa | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 22:32 | -10 | 34 |
| 14 | AS Acireale | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 37:49 | -12 | 32 |
| 15 | Vibonese | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 31:47 | -16 | 32 |
| 16 | ACR Messina | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 27:33 | -6 | 29 |
| 17 | Sancataldese | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 31:46 | -15 | 29 |
| 18 | Paterno ✔ | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 21:68 | -47 | 19 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Athletic Palermo is Qualified for Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs )
Gelbison is Qualified for Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs )
Paterno is Relegated to
