Result
4:1
03/11/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, Paramount+ |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 2 |
 China | iQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8 |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV, M Plus Live |
 India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | K-Vision |
 Iran | IRIB Varzesh |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Russia | TV Start |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 2 |
 Ukraine | Sport 1, Sport 3 |
 World | Sport 1 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.22 | 1.02 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (390/462) | 80% (282/352) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.22 | 1.02 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.04 | 1.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (390/462) | 80% (282/352) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (47/81) | 36% (10/28) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (122/155) | 56% (36/64) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (4/22) | 33% (1/3) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.42 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 38% (3/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.05 | 3.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.05 | -0.96 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 2', 1 - 0, Edmilson Junior ⚽, Luis Alberto (A),
- 17', Ezatolahi S. 🟨,
- 39', 2 - 0, Bourigeaud B. ⚽, Edmilson Junior (A),
- 42', 2 - 1, Breno ⚽, Cartabia F. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 50', Adil S. ↓, Mateusao ↑,
- 57', 3 - 1, Boulbina A. ⚽, Bourigeaud B. (A),
- 67', Breno ↓, Dabbur M. ↑,
- 67', Yuri Cesar ↓, Alvarez G. ↑,
- 68', Piatek K. (Pen),
- 68', Cartabia F. 🟨,
- 83', Sabaly Y. ↓, Bamba I. ↑,
- 87', Cartabia F. ↓, Thiago ↑,
- 87', Ezatolahi S. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
- 89', Edmilson Junior ↓, Mohammed I. ↑,
- 90+1', Al Amin H. 🟨,
- 90+2', 4 - 1, Luis Alberto ⚽,
- 90+3', Bamba I. 🟨,
- 90+6', Bourigeaud B. ↓, Luiz Ceara ↑,
- 90+6', Luis Alberto ↓, Al Ahrak A. ↑,
- 90+6', Boulbina A. ↓, Jamshid T. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/4d5u2af2
Chances of winning
Al Duhail
36.9% | Draw
25.4% | Shabab Al-Ahli
37.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al Duhail has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al Duhail's form might have worsened.Shabab Al-Ahli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shabab Al-Ahli's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Duhail than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al Duhail, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shabab Al-Ahli than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shabab Al-Ahli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Al Duhail - Shabab Al-Ahli Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.55 ↑
(2.15) |
3.7 ↑
(3.66) |
2.5 ↓
(2.89) |
6.3%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Al Duhail - Shabab Al-Ahli?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Al Duhail will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Shabab Al-Ahli will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Shabab Al-Ahli (1.77) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH +0.5 - Al Duhail (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Al Duhail (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Shabab Al-Ahli (votes: 5 - 83.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Al Duhail is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Shabab Al-Ahli is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Shabab Al-Ahli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Al Duhail won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Al Duhail won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Al Duhail won against Shabab Al-Ahli?
Al Duhail has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shabab Al-Ahli won against Al Duhail?
Shabab Al-Ahli has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al Duhail - Shabab Al-Ahli were as follows:
Latest results of Al Duhail
Latest results of Shabab Al-Ahli
AFC Champions League Table
League phaseEast | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Machida | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:7 | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | Vissel Kobe | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14:7 | 7 | 16 |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 15 |
| 4 | Buriram | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 14 |
| 5 | Melbourne City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 14 |
| 6 | Johor DT | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:7 | 1 | 11 |
| 7 | Seoul | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 10 |
| 8 | Gangwon | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 |
| 9 | Ulsan HD | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 9 |
| 10 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 6 |
| 11 | Shanghai Shenhua | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5:13 | -8 | 4 |
| 12 | Shanghai Port | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2:11 | -9 | 4 |
West | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Hilal | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 17:6 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Al Ahli SC | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 21:9 | 12 | 17 |
| 3 | Tractor | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12:4 | 8 | 17 |
| 4 | Al Ittihad | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 22:9 | 13 | 15 |
| 5 | Al Wahda | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 | Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | 11 |
| 7 | Al-Duhail | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 | Al-Sadd | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 8 |
| 9 | Al Sharjah | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:16 | -8 | 8 |
| 10 | Al-Gharafa | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7:21 | -14 | 6 |
| 11 | Al Shorta | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:20 | -14 | 5 |
| 12 | Nasaf Qarshi | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:17 | -8 | 4 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
