Dynamo Dresden vs Nürnberg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German 2 Bundesliga
Result
1:2
07/11/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 12
  • Referee: Weisbach E. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, Now Player
icelandIcelandViaplay
israelIsraelSport 1
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 7
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.710.57
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
99
Shots on target
14
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
81% (347/431)84% (361/429)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
0.710.57
xG on target (xGOT)
0.191.53
Total shots
99
Shots on target
14
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
67
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
2315
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1812
Passes
81% (347/431)84% (361/429)
Long passes
55% (33/60)60% (21/35)
Passes in final third
68% (105/155)78% (70/90)
Crosses
19% (6/31)15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.210.50
Throw-ins
2518
Fouls
1218
Tackles
64% (16/25)64% (7/11)
Duels won
6647
Clearances
945
Interceptions
106
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.530.19
Goals prevented
-0.47-0.81

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 1', 0 - 1, Lubach R. ⚽, Stepanov A. (A),
  • 44', Daferner C. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 1 - 1, Kother D. ⚽, Daferner C. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 50', 1 - 2, Janisch T. ⚽, Justvan J. (A),
  • 59', Amoako K. ↓, Casar A. ↑,
  • 59', Daferner C. ↓, Lemmer J. ↑,
  • 71', Hauptmann N. ↓, Menzel T. ↑,
  • 71', Marx J. H. ↓, Faber K. ↑,
  • 73', Lubach R. 🟨,
  • 74', Stepanov A. ↓, Grimaldi A. ↑,
  • 74', Janisch T. ↓, Drexler T. ↑,
  • 74', Zoma M. A. ↓, Demba P. ↑,
  • 81', Casar A. 🟨,
  • 81', Kother D. ↓, Oehmichen J. ↑,
  • 84', Becker F. O. 🟨,
  • 87', Lubach R. ↓, Scobel P. ↑,
  • 87', Justvan J. ↓, Karafiat O. ↑,
  • 90+3', Menzel T. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Markhiev A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Dynamo Dresden
37.7%		Draw
26%		Nürnberg
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39% 24.8% 36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41% 26.1% 34.4%

Dynamo Dresden - Nürnberg Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 2.5 ↑
(2.42)		 3.64 ↓
(3.8)		 2.61
(2.61)		 5.7%
(6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Dynamo Dresden - Nürnberg?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Dynamo Dresden will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Nürnberg will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nürnberg: 17.8% – 64.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dynamo Dresden won 0.
    • Dynamo Dresden is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Nürnberg's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Dynamo Dresden: Pauli J. (Hamstring Injury) Risch S. (Shoulder Injury) Schreiber T. (Hand Injury) Zickler J. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There will not play in Nürnberg: Buchmann T. (Foot Injury) Chiumento L. (Injury) Danilo Soares (Hamstring Injury) Koudossou H. (Ankle Injury) Lochoshvili L. (Yellow Cards) Maboulou N. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Dynamo Dresden won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.8:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Dynamo Dresden won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.5:1).
    Latest results of Dynamo Dresden
    01.11.2025 Hertha Berlin - Dynamo Dresden 2:0 ✺
    25.10.2025 Dynamo Dresden - Paderborn 1:2 ✺
    18.10.2025 Preußen Münster - Dynamo Dresden 2:2 ✺
    04.10.2025 Dynamo Dresden - Karlsruher 3:3 ✺
    26.09.2025 Darmstadt - Dynamo Dresden 2:0 ✺
    Latest results of Nürnberg
    01.11.2025 Nürnberg - Eintracht Braunschweig 2:1 ✺
    26.10.2025 Kaiserslautern - Nürnberg 1:1 ✺
    19.10.2025 Nürnberg - Holstein Kiel 1:1 ✺
    03.10.2025 Fortuna Düsseldorf - Nürnberg 2:3 ✺
    28.09.2025 Nürnberg - Hertha Berlin 0:3 ✺
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Paderborn1292120:101029
    2Schalke1290316:7927
    3Elversberg1272324:111323
    4Darmstadt1264219:11822
    5Hannover1263322:18421
    6Karlsruher SC1263319:18121
    7Kaiserslautern1262420:14620
    8Hertha Berlin1262415:10520
    9Arminia Bielefeld1252525:18717
    10Holstein Kiel1243513:12115
    11Nurnberg1243513:16-315
    12Preussen Munster1242617:21-414
    13Bochum1241716:18-213
    14Greuther Furth1241718:30-1213
    15Dusseldorf1232710:20-1011
    16Braunschweig1231812:24-1210
    17SG Dynamo Dresden1214716:24-87
    18Magdeburg122199:22-137

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 3. Liga

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