Result
1:2
07/11/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 2. Bundesliga - Round 12
- Referee: Weisbach E. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3 |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 6, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2, Now Player |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Israel | Sport 1 |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 3 |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 7 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
 Portugal | DAZN 1, DAZN / App |
 Romania | Prima Sport PPV 3 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
 Singapore | beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | Sport TV1 |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.57 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (347/431) | 84% (361/429) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.57 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.19 | 1.53 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (347/431) | 84% (361/429) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (33/60) | 60% (21/35) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (105/155) | 78% (70/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (6/31) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.50 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (16/25) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 66 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 45 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.53 | 0.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.47 | -0.81 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 1', 0 - 1, Lubach R. ⚽, Stepanov A. (A),
- 44', Daferner C. 🟨,
- 45+1', 1 - 1, Kother D. ⚽, Daferner C. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 50', 1 - 2, Janisch T. ⚽, Justvan J. (A),
- 59', Amoako K. ↓, Casar A. ↑,
- 59', Daferner C. ↓, Lemmer J. ↑,
- 71', Hauptmann N. ↓, Menzel T. ↑,
- 71', Marx J. H. ↓, Faber K. ↑,
- 73', Lubach R. 🟨,
- 74', Stepanov A. ↓, Grimaldi A. ↑,
- 74', Janisch T. ↓, Drexler T. ↑,
- 74', Zoma M. A. ↓, Demba P. ↑,
- 81', Casar A. 🟨,
- 81', Kother D. ↓, Oehmichen J. ↑,
- 84', Becker F. O. 🟨,
- 87', Lubach R. ↓, Scobel P. ↑,
- 87', Justvan J. ↓, Karafiat O. ↑,
- 90+3', Menzel T. 🟨,
- 90+5', Markhiev A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Dynamo Dresden
37.7% | Draw
26% | Nürnberg
36.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dynamo Dresden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Nürnberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Dresden than the current prediction. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nürnberg than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Dynamo Dresden - Nürnberg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.5 ↑
(2.42) |
3.64 ↓
(3.8) |
2.61
(2.61) |
5.7%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Dynamo Dresden - Nürnberg?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Dynamo Dresden will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Nürnberg will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nürnberg: 17.8% – 64.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- AH 0 - Nürnberg (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Dynamo Dresden (1.52) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Dynamo Dresden (votes: 2 - 40%). Nürnberg (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dynamo Dresden won 0.
- Dynamo Dresden is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Nürnberg's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Dynamo Dresden: Pauli J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Risch S.
(Shoulder Injury)
Schreiber T.
(Hand Injury)
Zickler J.
(Shoulder Injury)
- There will not play in Nürnberg: Buchmann T.
(Foot Injury)
Chiumento L.
(Injury)
Danilo Soares
(Hamstring Injury)
Koudossou H.
(Ankle Injury)
Lochoshvili L.
(Yellow Cards)
Maboulou N.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Dynamo Dresden won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dynamo Dresden won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Dynamo Dresden won against Nürnberg?
Dynamo Dresden has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nürnberg won against Dynamo Dresden?
Nürnberg has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dynamo Dresden - Nürnberg were as follows:
Latest results of Dynamo Dresden
Latest results of Nürnberg
German 2 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Schalke | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 38:24 | 14 | 52 |
| 2 | Elversberg | 27 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 47:29 | 18 | 51 |
| 3 | Paderborn | 27 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 45:31 | 14 | 51 |
| 4 | Darmstadt | 27 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 49:30 | 19 | 50 |
| 5 | Hannover | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 46:34 | 12 | 49 |
| 6 | Hertha Berlin | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 42:33 | 9 | 44 |
| 7 | Kaiserslautern | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 45:41 | 4 | 40 |
| 8 | Karlsruher SC | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 43:51 | -8 | 37 |
| 9 | Nurnberg | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 37:37 | 0 | 36 |
| 10 | Bochum | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 38:36 | 2 | 33 |
| 11 | Dusseldorf | 27 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 26:40 | -14 | 31 |
| 12 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 45:46 | -1 | 29 |
| 13 | Braunschweig | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 29:44 | -15 | 29 |
| 14 | Greuther Furth | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 40:59 | -19 | 29 |
| 15 | Arminia Bielefeld | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 39:39 | 0 | 28 |
| 16 | Holstein Kiel | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 34:42 | -8 | 28 |
| 17 | Magdeburg | 27 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 39:50 | -11 | 27 |
| 18 | Preussen Munster | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 31:47 | -16 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 3. Liga
