Result
2:0
21/03/2026 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 32
- Referee: Turkmen M. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii Spor 6, Tabii |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 0.50 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (272/357) | 72% (230/318) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 0.50 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 0.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (272/357) | 72% (230/318) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (42/78) | 39% (27/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (56/92) | 53% (48/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.26 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 78% (7/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.04 | 1.72 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.04 | -0.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 37', Ceylan B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Yavuz S. ↓, Terzi E. ↑,
- 46', Sadygov I. ↓, Topalli J. ↑,
- 58', Pena S. ↓, Soro I. ↑,
- 58', Bostan M. ↓, Owusu ↑,
- 59', Owusu 🟨,
- 70', Ceylan B. ↓, Tashkyn S. ↑,
- 78', Soro I. 🟨,
- 81', Sen K. ↓, Zwolinski L. ↑,
- 87', Demir E. ↓, Karatas H. ↑,
- 88', 1 - 0, Topalli J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+2', 🟨,
- 90+2', 🟨,
- 90+5', Nwachukwu C. ↓, Ozcan S. ↑,
- 90+9', 2 - 0, Altiparmak G. ⚽, Ozcan S. (A),
Chances of winning
Serik Belediyespor
31.3% | Draw
25.7% | Sakaryaspor
43% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Serik Belediyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Sakaryaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Serik Belediyespor than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sakaryaspor than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Serik Belediyespor - Sakaryaspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.87 ↑
(2.7) |
3.59 ↑
(3.45) |
2.18 ↓
(2.3) |
8.6%
(9.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Serik Belediyespor - Sakaryaspor?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Serik Belediyespor will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Sakaryaspor will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).
- Serik Belediyespor is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Sakaryaspor's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Sakaryaspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Serik Belediyespor: Demir I.
(Tendon Injury)
Guibero R.
(Inactive)
Okoro J.
(Inactive)
Spasov G.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Sakaryaspor: Ruan Teixeira
(Red Card)
Turken A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Serik Belediyespor won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1.2:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Serik Belediyespor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Serik Belediyespor won against Sakaryaspor?
Serik Belediyespor has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sakaryaspor won against Serik Belediyespor?
Sakaryaspor has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Serik Belediyespor - Sakaryaspor were as follows:
08.11.2025
Sakaryaspor
-
Serik Belediyespor
2:3
Latest results of Serik Belediyespor
Latest results of Sakaryaspor
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Erzurumspor | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 74:23 | 51 | 69 |
| 2 | Amedspor | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 68:32 | 36 | 67 |
| 3 | Erokspor | 32 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 73:30 | 43 | 63 |
| 4 | Corum | 32 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 53:34 | 19 | 62 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 67:35 | 32 | 57 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 32 | 14 | 12 | 6 | 49:27 | 22 | 54 |
| 7 | Bandirmaspor | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 42:33 | 9 | 48 |
| 8 | Keciorengucu | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 63:40 | 23 | 47 |
| 9 | Sivasspor | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 47 |
| 10 | Igdir FK | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 40:44 | -4 | 45 |
| 11 | Vanspor FK | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 42:35 | 7 | 43 |
| 12 | Manisa FK | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 46:52 | -6 | 43 |
| 13 | Boluspor | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 50:44 | 6 | 42 |
| 14 | Umraniyespor | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 38:41 | -3 | 39 |
| 15 | Sariyer | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 34:41 | -7 | 39 |
| 16 | Istanbulspor AS | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 38:48 | -10 | 39 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 32 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 38:60 | -22 | 35 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 41:56 | -15 | 32 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 32 | 0 | 7 | 25 | 22:88 | -66 | 7 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor ✔ | 32 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 17:141 | -124 | -57 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Adana Demirspor is Relegated to
