Pontedera vs Guidonia Montecelio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
14/03/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group B - Round 32
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia

Match Stats

Ball possession
57%43%
Total shots
189
Shots on target
76
Corner kicks
51
Yellow cards
33
Total shots
189
Shots on target
76
Shots off target
113
Corner kicks
51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 26', Frascatore P. 🟨,
  • 38', Paolieri L. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Errico A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 53', 0 - 1, Tessiore A. ,
  • 58', Dell'Aquila F. , Buffon L. ,
  • 62', Faggi F. 🟨,
  • 63', Errico A. , Zuppel D. ,
  • 66', Faggi F. , Caponi A. ,
  • 67', Tessiore A. 🟨,
  • 74', Kabashi E. , Emmanuello S. ,
  • 74', Nabian H. , Raychev A. ,
  • 75', Franchini S. , Sannipoli D. ,
  • 81', Tessiore A. , Zappella D. ,
  • 88', Vitali P. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Pontedera
42.5%
Draw
30%
Guidonia Montecelio
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.9% 30.6% 37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6% 29.3% 39.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pontedera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pontedera's performance.
  • Guidonia Montecelio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guidonia Montecelio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pontedera than the current prediction. (-11.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pontedera that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guidonia Montecelio than the current prediction. (+11.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guidonia Montecelio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Pontedera - Guidonia Montecelio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.17
    (2.85)
    3.07
    (2.98)
    3.36
    (2.43)
    8.4%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 14).
    • Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Pontedera won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pontedera - Guidonia Montecelio were as follows:
    08.11.2025 Guidonia Montecelio - Pontedera 2:0
    Latest results of Pontedera
    09.03.2026 Perugia - Pontedera 2:1
    04.03.2026 Pontedera - Juventus U23 0:1
    01.03.2026 Vis Pesaro - Pontedera 1:1
    22.02.2026 Pontedera - Ascoli 1:3
    15.02.2026 Pontedera - Gubbio 1:1
    Latest results of Guidonia Montecelio
    Italian Serie C Group B Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arezzo36248464:244080
    2Ascoli36238563:234077
    3Ravenna36227750:302073
    4Campobasso361710949:371259
    5Juventus U233614111146:43353
    6Pianese361117837:34350
    7Pineto3613111242:45-350
    8Gubbio3611151031:32-148
    9Ternana3614111144:40448
    10Vis Pesaro3611131238:36246
    11Livorno361271739:51-1243
    12Forli3610101641:52-1140
    13Carpi3610101635:48-1340
    14Perugia368141438:44-638
    15Guidonia368141430:36-638
    16Sambenedettese368131530:37-737
    17Torres366181232:45-1336
    18Bra366141637:54-1732
    19Pontedera363112227:62-3520
    20Rimini00000:000

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation