Virtus Francavilla vs Acerrana – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
09/11/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group H - Round 11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 33', 1 - 0, Bonavolonta A. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 50', 2 - 0, ,
  • 90+1', 3 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Virtus Francavilla
60.5%
Draw
24.3%
Acerrana
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.3% 25.1% 18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4% 18.9% 24.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Virtus Francavilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • Acerrana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Francavilla than the current prediction. (-18.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Virtus Francavilla that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Acerrana than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Acerrana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Virtus Francavilla - Acerrana Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.51
    (1.63)
    3.75
    (3.65)
    5.98
    (4.93)
    9.9%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • Recent form of Virtus Francavilla has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Acerrana has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Virtus Francavilla is seen as the favorite.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Virtus Francavilla
    Latest results of Acerrana
    02.11.2025 Nardo - Acerrana 4:0
    26.10.2025 Acerrana - Afragolese 0:4
    19.10.2025 Nola - Acerrana 4:0
    12.10.2025 Acerrana - Heraclea 0:1
    05.10.2025 Gravina - Acerrana 4:1
    Italian Serie D - Group H Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barletta ✔ 332010354:193570
    2Martina Calcio ✔ 33188746:281862
    3Citta di Fasano ✔ 33178845:351059
    4Paganese ✔ 33177936:261058
    5A.C.D. Nardo331313739:271252
    6Gravina331571147:38952
    7Afragolese3313101045:44149
    8Fidelis Andria331391134:26848
    9Virtus Francavilla3312111043:38547
    10Real Normanna3310131025:23243
    11Sarnese339131149:47240
    12Francavilla3310101337:38-140
    13Manfredonia3310101332:38-640
    14SS Nola 1925331081540:49-938
    15Heraclea ✔ 33981629:38-935
    16Pompei33871824:37-1331
    17Ferrandina33791720:41-2130
    18Acerrana ✔ 33352519:72-5314

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Barletta is Confirmed as championsnQualified for
    Martina Calcio is Qualified for Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs )
    Citta di Fasano is Qualified for Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs )
    Paganese is Qualified for Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs )
    Heraclea is Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out )
    Acerrana is Relegated to