Result
17/03/2026 at 04:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Heraklion, hard - 1/16-finals
Chances of winning
Luca Potenza
65.9% | Luca Castagnola
34.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luca Potenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Luca Castagnola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Potenza than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luca Potenza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Castagnola than the current prediction. (-6.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luca Castagnola, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Luca Potenza - Luca Castagnola Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.41 ↑
(1.35) |
|
2.71 ↓
(2.86) |
8.1%
(9.4%) | |
Preview Facts
- Potenza is ranked ATP: 426. Castagnola is ranked ATP: 672.
- Recent form of Potenza has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Castagnola has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Potenza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Potenza is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Potenza won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Luca Potenza won against Luca Castagnola?
Luca Potenza has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Luca Castagnola won against Luca Potenza?
Luca Castagnola has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Luca Potenza - Luca Castagnola were as follows:
15.03.2024
Luca Castagnola
-
Luca Potenza
2:0
09.03.2024
Luca Castagnola
-
Luca Potenza
0:2
13.02.2024
Luca Castagnola
-
Luca Potenza
2:0
28.09.2022
Luca Potenza
-
Luca Castagnola
2:0
Latest results of Luca Potenza
Latest results of Luca Castagnola
Draw
20251/16-finals| 1 | Wendelken H. (1) | Tsitsipas Pe. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Filip J. | Shugar A. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Friberg K. | Haupt H. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Geladaris O. | Iannaccone F. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Story J. (3) | Spyrou C. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Preda L. | Vales A. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Brady P. | Cizek J. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Verbeek D. | Xilas I. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Romano F. (7) | Otegui J. B. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 10 | Pietri B. | Chopra K. | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Dinev D. | Sakellaridis D. | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Jones M. | Broska F. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 13 | Planinsek F. J. (6) | Messis A. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 14 | Van Der Merwe M. | Holder C. | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Dayal N. | Perego G. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Jeran A. | Henning P. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Wendelken H. (1) | Filip J. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Friberg K. | Iannaccone F. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Story J. (3) | Preda L. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Brady P. | Xilas I. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Romano F. (7) | Pietri B. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Sakellaridis D. | Jones M. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Planinsek F. J. (6) | Van Der Merwe M. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Perego G. | Henning P. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Wendelken H. (1) | Friberg K. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Preda L. (RET.) | Xilas I. (5) | 1 : 1 |
| 3 | Pietri B. | Jones M. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Planinsek F. J. (6) | Henning P. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Wendelken H. (1) | Xilas I. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Pietri B. | Henning P. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Xilas I. (5) | Henning P. (2) | 0 : 2 |
