Leonesa vs Málaga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
17/11/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 14
  • Referee: Gonzalez Esteban J. A. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDsports 9
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
austriaAustriaDAZN
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 2
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
ecuadorEcuadorDSports 9
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Sports 1, Sooka
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
peruPeruDSports 9
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1x2
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 2
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
swedenSwedenTV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeyS Sport, S Sport+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.940.87
Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
616
Shots on target
13
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
18
Passes
76% (217/287)88% (453/512)
Yellow Cards
02
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.940.87
xG on target (xGOT)
0.340.29
Total shots
616
Shots on target
13
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
16
Shots inside the Box
48
Shots outside the Box
28
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
18
Touches in opposition box
1419
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
146
Passes
76% (217/287)88% (453/512)
Long passes
38% (22/58)53% (29/55)
Passes in final third
56% (30/54)81% (121/149)
Crosses
33% (2/6)14% (5/36)
Expected assists (xA)
0.280.55
Throw-ins
1721
Fouls
614
Tackles
45% (10/22)44% (4/9)
Duels won
5528
Clearances
489
Interceptions
119
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
30
xGOT faced
0.290.34
Goals prevented
0.29-0.66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 19', Merino I. 🟨,
  • 39', 1 - 0, Ribeiro L. , Calero I. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Merino I. , Nino A. ,
  • 65', Justo M. , Gonzalez Y. ,
  • 65', Mboula J. , Tresaco R. ,
  • 70', Lobete J. , Dorrio J. ,
  • 70', Larrubia D. , Dotor C. ,
  • 76', Ribeiro L. , Collado D. ,
  • 76', Montero J. 🟨,
  • 79', Montero J. , Munoz J. ,
  • 79', Rafita , Puga C. ,
  • 90', Chacon L. , Maestre S. ,
  • 90', Calero I. , Garcia V. ,
  • 90+3', Murillo D. 🟥,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Leonesa
41.1%
Draw
30.2%
Málaga
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.2% 28.1% 29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6% 27.8% 29.3%

Leonesa - Málaga Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.34
(2.24)
3.16
(3.36)
3.31
(3.19)
4.8%
(5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Leonesa - Málaga?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Leonesa will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Málaga will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Leonesa: 35.2%84.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Leonesa (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.25 - Málaga (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Málaga (2.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Leonesa (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Málaga (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 16).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Leonesa: Satrustegui E. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Málaga: Chupe (Injury) Diarra M. (Knee Injury) Enriquez R. (Knee Injury) Luismi (Face Injury) Pastor A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Málaga: Juanpe (Injury)
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Leonesa
    01.11.2025 Leonesa - Mirandés 3:2
    28.10.2025 Tropezón - Leonesa 1:3
    25.10.2025 Leonesa - Ceuta 0:1
    18.10.2025 Zaragoza - Leonesa 0:5
    Latest results of Málaga
    08.11.2025 Málaga - Córdoba 2:2
    02.11.2025 Castellón - Málaga 2:1
    30.10.2025 Estepona - Málaga 1:3
    26.10.2025 Málaga - FC Andorra 4:1
    19.10.2025 Leganés - Málaga 2:0
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander22125549:321741
    2Castellon22115636:251138
    3Las Palmas22108427:171038
    4Dep. La Coruna22107537:251237
    5Almeria22106641:32936
    6Malaga22105732:26635
    7Burgos CF22105726:20635
    8Cadiz CF2297625:24134
    9Gijon22103930:31-133
    10Cordoba2288627:25232
    11Ceuta2295825:29-432
    12Valladolid2277824:23128
    13Andorra2277825:30-528
    14Albacete2276927:34-727
    15Leganes2268823:23026
    16Eibar2267923:26-325
    17Cultural Leonesa22741124:34-1025
    18Real Sociedad B22661029:31-224
    19Granada CF22411723:27-423
    20Huesca22651120:31-1123
    21Zaragoza22561121:35-1421
    22Mirandes22451323:37-1417

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation