Gimnástic de Tarragona vs Marbella – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
16/11/2025 at 08:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 12
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
99
Shots on target
37
Corner Kicks
31
Yellow Cards
21
Total shots
99
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
62
Corner Kicks
31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 27', Baselga M. 🟨,
  • 38', 1 - 0, Baselga M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Camus S. , Santos S. ,
  • 46', Acosta L. , Ruiz A. ,
  • 46', Munoz L. , Boussefiane H. ,
  • 50', Camus S. 🟨,
  • 55', Sanz O. , Prendes M. ,
  • 62', Baselga M. , Jimenez A. ,
  • 62', Cambra J. , Luis Alcalde ,
  • 63', Moi 🟨,
  • 66', Escassi A. 🟨,
  • 75', Fattore V. , Alvarez J. ,
  • 76', Omoigui C. , Torres F. ,
  • 76', Moi , Alvaro Garcia ,
  • 80', Eugeni , Palacin P. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Gimnástic de Tarragona
46.2%
Draw
28.8%
Marbella
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.6% 27.3% 23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8% 26.7% 22.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gimnástic de Tarragona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • Marbella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnástic de Tarragona than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marbella than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • Gimnástic de Tarragona - Marbella Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (1.87)
    3.17
    (3.4)
    3.74
    (4.02)
    7.7%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Gimnástic de Tarragona - Marbella?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Gimnàstic (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.75 - Marbella (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Gimnàstic (votes: 1 - 50%). Marbella (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • Gimnàstic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Gimnàstic is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Marbella
    09.11.2025 Marbella - Alcorcón 1:2
    02.11.2025 Teruel - Marbella 1:0
    26.10.2025 Marbella - Cartagena 0:0
    19.10.2025 Antequera - Marbella 3:1
    11.10.2025 Marbella - Eldense 1:0
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sabadell291412340:152554
    2Atl. Madrid B29149643:261751
    3Eldense291311541:281350
    4CE Europa291211643:34947
    5Villarreal B291111738:251344
    6Teruel29119922:23-142
    7Antequera291181033:32141
    8Algeciras291181030:30041
    9Alcorcon29913727:25240
    10Hercules291010933:32140
    11FC Cartagena SAD291010925:28-340
    12Torremolinos29912837:37039
    13UD Ibiza291081130:28238
    14Murcia29991126:29-336
    15Tarazona298101123:30-734
    16Gimnastic29971331:39-834
    17Marbella29771524:35-1128
    18Betis B29771532:48-1628
    19Sanluqueno29761625:42-1727
    20Sevilla FC B294101515:32-1722

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