Aidan McHugh vs Murphy Cassone – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
12/11/2025 at 17:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Champaign, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
27
Double Faults
13
1st Serve Percentage
64%68%
1st Serve Points Won
60% (28/47)70% (54/77)
2nd Serve Points Won
63% (17/27)32% (12/37)
Break Points Saved
25% (1/4)64% (9/14)
1st Return Points Won
32% (25/77)40% (19/47)
2nd Return Points Won
68% (25/37)37% (10/27)
Break Points Converted
36% (5/14)75% (3/4)
Service Points Won
61% (45/74)58% (66/114)
Return Points Won
42% (48/114)39% (29/74)
Total Points Won
49% (93/188)51% (95/188)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
77% (10/13)67% (10/15)
Return Games Won
33% (5/15)23% (3/13)
Total Games Won
54% (15/28)46% (13/28)

Chances of winning


Aidan McHugh
28.9%
Murphy Cassone
71.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.5% 64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2% 63.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aidan McHugh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aidan McHugh's form might have worsened.
  • Murphy Cassone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Murphy Cassone's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aidan McHugh than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aidan McHugh, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Murphy Cassone than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Murphy Cassone, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Aidan McHugh - Murphy Cassone Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.32
    (2.62)

    1.38
    (1.44)
    2.6%
    (7.7%)
    Preview Facts
    • McHugh is ranked ATP: 465. Cassone is ranked ATP: 245.
    • McHugh is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Cassone is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • McHugh may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Cassone is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Cassone will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Aidan McHugh
    Latest results of Murphy Cassone
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Mejia N. (1)Stebe C.0 : 2
    2Perez A.Hara Friend J. D.1 : 2
    3Smith K.Jilly A. (WC)0 : 2
    4Martinez A.Purtseladze S. (7)2 : 1
    5Krueger M. (3)Blanch Dar.0 : 2
    6Maxted L. (Q)Azkara A.0 : 2
    7Kozlov S.Borg L.2 : 0
    8Mitsui S. (Q)Zink T. (8)0 : 2
    9Rosenkranz M. (5)Martinez Gomez P. (Q)2 : 0
    10Okonkwo O. (WC)Ganesan A. (Alt)0 : 2
    11McHugh A.Zhang J. (Q)2 : 1
    12Roh H. (JR)Cassone M. (4)0 : 2
    13Martin A. (6)Fishback R. (Q)2 : 0
    14Colleu S. (WC)Al Azmeh T. (Q)1 : 2
    15Miyoshi K.Vandecasteele Q. (LL)2 : 0
    16Braswell M. (PR)Monday J. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Stebe C.Hara Friend J. D.2 : 0
    2Jilly A.Martinez A.0 : 2
    3Blanch Dar.Azkara A.2 : 0
    4Kozlov S.Zink T. (8)2 : 0
    5Rosenkranz M. (5)Ganesan A.2 : 0
    6McHugh A.Cassone M. (4)1 : 2
    7Martin A. (6)Al Azmeh T.0 : 2
    8Miyoshi K.Braswell M.2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Stebe C.Martinez A.2 : 1
    2Blanch Dar.Kozlov S.1 : 2
    3Rosenkranz M. (5)Cassone M. (4)0 : 2
    4Al Azmeh T.Miyoshi K.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Stebe C. (RET.)Kozlov S.0 : 1
    2Cassone M. (4)Miyoshi K.2 : 1

    Final
    1Kozlov S.Cassone M. (4)2 : 0