Result
3:0
27/07/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera Nacional - Round 24
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | TyC Sports Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 16', 1 - 0, Susvielles J. ⚽,
- 29', Mansilla M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Alonso A. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
- 52', Bolivar A. 🟨,
- 68', Susvielles J. ↓, Amilivia T. ↑,
- 68', Mansilla M. ↓, Ortale M. ↑,
- 69', Tomasetti G. ↓, Meritello F. ↑,
- 70', Quiroga S. ↓, Parisi L. ↑,
- 70', Benegas M. ↓, Diellos D. ↑,
- 72', Martinez E. ↓, Gorgerino C. ↑,
- 82', Palacio P. ↓, Romero L. ↑,
- 85', 🟨,
- 88', 2 - 0, Bolzicco T. ⚽,
- 90+1', 🟨,
- 90+3', 3 - 0, Amilivia T. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Alvarado
32% | Draw
35% | Ferro Carril Oeste
33% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alvarado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alvarado's form might have worsened.Ferro Carril Oeste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (+10.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alvarado, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferro Carril Oeste than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ferro Carril Oeste, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Alvarado - Ferro Carril Oeste Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.91 ↑
(2.25) |
2.65 ↓
(2.99) |
2.82 ↓
(3.23) |
7.6%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Alvarado - Ferro Carril Oeste?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Alvarado will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Ferro Carril will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 15).
- Alvarado has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Ferro Carril is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alvarado won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alvarado won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Alvarado won against Ferro Carril Oeste?
Alvarado has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ferro Carril Oeste won against Alvarado?
Ferro Carril Oeste has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alvarado - Ferro Carril Oeste were as follows:
23.03.2025
Ferro Carril Oeste
-
Alvarado
0:0
08.09.2024
Alvarado
-
Ferro Carril Oeste
0:2
23.04.2024
Ferro Carril Oeste
-
Alvarado
3:0
01.10.2022
Alvarado
-
Ferro Carril Oeste
1:1
Latest results of Alvarado
Latest results of Ferro Carril Oeste
Draw
Promotion - Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Deportivo Madryn | Bye | |
| 2 | Gimnasia Jujuy | San Miguel | 0 : 0 |
| 3 | Atletico Atlanta | Chaco For Ever | 3 : 0 |
| 4 | Deportivo Moron | San Martin T. | 0 : 0 |
| 5 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | Patronato | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Gimnasia y Tiro | Temperley | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | CA Estudiantes | Deportivo Maipu | 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Tristan Suarez | Agropecuario | 2 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Deportivo Madryn | Gimnasia Jujuy | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Atletico Atlanta | Deportivo Moron | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | Gimnasia y Tiro | 0 : 0 |
| 4 | CA Estudiantes | Tristan Suarez | 0 : 0 |
