Newport City vs Cardiff Draconians – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
10/12/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Cymru South - Round 14

Match Stats

Red Cards
02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 26', Kazadi E. 🟥,
  • 40', 1 - 0, McLaggon K. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 58', 2 - 0, Hillman D. ,
  • 81', 2 - 1, Mallam L. ,
  • 90+3', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Newport City
50.7%
Draw
23.1%
Cardiff Draconians
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.9% 22.7% 25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2% 23.2% 24.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Newport City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Cardiff Draconians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport City than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff Draconians than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Newport City - Cardiff Draconians Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.79
    (1.75)
    3.92
    (4)
    3.47
    (3.57)
    10.1%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 and 6)
    • Newport City has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Cardiff Draconians is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Newport City is considered a favorite.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Newport City
    Latest results of Cardiff Draconians
    Welsh Cymru South Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Trefelin22183150:104057
    2Cambrian United22182256:164056
    3Ammanford23118432:211141
    4Caerau Ely23124748:321640
    5Aberystwyth23123829:26339
    6Carmarthen Town24811529:27235
    7Newport City23810532:29334
    8Cardiff Draconians21102932:27532
    9Llantwit Major2379730:30030
    10Treowen2175935:40-526
    11Pontypridd22741133:34-125
    12Baglan Dragons22481022:31-920
    13Trethomas Bluebirds23481129:45-1620
    14Afan Lido23531520:43-2318
    15Ynyshir Albions23351517:47-3014
    16Cwmbran Celtic20051514:50-365

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