Lea Nilsson vs Eva Guerrero Alvarez – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
15/11/2025 at 08:40 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Funchal, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Last 10 Balls
82

Chances of winning


Lea Nilsson
43.6%
Eva Guerrero Alvarez
56.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34% 66%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6% 68.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lea Nilsson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lea Nilsson's performance.
  • Eva Guerrero Alvarez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Eva Guerrero Alvarez might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lea Nilsson than the current prediction. (-12%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lea Nilsson that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eva Guerrero Alvarez than the current prediction. (+12%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Eva Guerrero Alvarez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Lea Nilsson - Eva Guerrero Alvarez Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.15
    (2.7)

    1.67
    (1.39)
    6.5%
    (9%)
    Preview Facts
    • Nilsson is ranked WTA: 985. Guerrero Alvarez is ranked WTA: 294.
    • Nilsson has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Guerrero Alvarez is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Guerrero Alvarez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Guerrero Alvarez might have a minor edge in this game.
    • We predict that Guerrero Alvarez will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Lea Nilsson
    13.11.2025 Caroline Werner - Lea Nilsson Werner C. retired
    04.11.2025 Lea Nilsson - Haruka Kaji 0:2
    Draw
    2025

    1/16-finals
    1Korpatsch T. (1)Lew Yan Foon A.2 : 1
    2Bhunu V.Noha Akugue N.0 : 2
    3Sequeira M.Lanca S.1 : 2
    4Zhabrailova M.Sobolieva A. (7)0 : 2
    5Palicova B. (3)Lopez Martinez C.2 : 0
    6De Stefano S.McDonald E.2 : 0
    7Yesypchuk D.Santos A.F.2 : 0
    8Steiner V.Andreeva E. (6)0 : 2
    9Werner C. (RET.) (5)Nilsson L.1 : 1
    10Curmi F.Bennemann E.0 : 2
    11Bartashevich Y.Rouvroy M.0 : 2
    12Hageman M.Kaji H. (4)0 : 2
    13Guerrero Alvarez E. (8)Lemaitre T.2 : 0
    14Szabo B.Otzipka J. (RET.)1 : 0
    15Hodzic M.Martinez Vaquero M.2 : 0
    16Shinikova I.Mikulskyte J. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Korpatsch T. (1)Noha Akugue N.2 : 0
    2Lanca S.Sobolieva A. (7)0 : 2
    3Palicova B. (3)De Stefano S.1 : 2
    4Yesypchuk D.Andreeva E. (6)0 : 2
    5Nilsson L.Bennemann E.2 : 0
    6Rouvroy M.Kaji H. (4)2 : 0
    7Guerrero Alvarez E. (8)Szabo B.2 : 0
    8Hodzic M.Mikulskyte J. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Korpatsch T. (1)Sobolieva A. (7)2 : 0
    2De Stefano S.Andreeva E. (6)2 : 0
    3Nilsson L.Rouvroy M.2 : 0
    4Guerrero Alvarez E. (8)Hodzic M.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Korpatsch T. (1)De Stefano S.2 : 0
    2Nilsson L.Guerrero Alvarez E. (8)2 : 0

    Final
    1Korpatsch T. (1)Nilsson L.2 : 1