Valenciennes vs Fleury-Merogis – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
21/11/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • National - Round 14
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFranceBFM Grand Lille, FFF TV
worldWorldFIFA+

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Colombo F. , Gannoun K. (A),
  • 30', Abu D. 🟨,
  • 40', Hervieu L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Abu D. , Niakate S. ,
  • 46', 0 - 2, Jean-Pierre M. ,
  • 46', Baghdadi S. , Inchaud M. ,
  • 46', Sissoko S. , Diomande D. ,
  • 61', Boissier R. , Belloumou S. ,
  • 63', Bovis E. 🟨,
  • 68', Gannoun K. , Rivas J. ,
  • 68', Sylla S. , Aubourg H. ,
  • 69', Rivas J. 🟨,
  • 74', Appuah S. , Ipiele A. ,
  • 79', Badin C. , Belliard M. ,
  • 79', Bovis E. , Lambese S. ,
  • 80', Rivas J. , Plisson T. ,

Chances of winning


Valenciennes
44%
Draw
28.2%
Fleury-Merogis
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.7% 27.7% 26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5% 26.7% 25.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Valenciennes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Fleury-Merogis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valenciennes than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fleury-Merogis than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • Valenciennes - Fleury-Merogis Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.09
    (2.01)
    3.26
    (3.32)
    3.31
    (3.46)
    8.7%
    (8.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Valenciennes - Fleury-Merogis?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Valenciennes will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Fleury-Merogis will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Valenciennes: 35.9%97.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Valenciennes (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 8).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Valenciennes will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Valenciennes
    07.11.2025 Versailles - Valenciennes 1:1
    31.10.2025 Valenciennes - Quevilly 2:0
    21.10.2025 Aubagne - Valenciennes 1:1
    17.10.2025 Valenciennes - Concarneau 1:2
    Latest results of Fleury-Merogis
    French National League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dijon241310139:162349
    2Rouen24129335:211445
    3Sochaux23136437:162145
    4Orleans24125734:34041
    5Versailles23124732:24840
    6Le Puy-en-Velay24108633:24938
    7Fleury-Merogis23107629:22737
    8Concarneau2379725:25030
    9Valenciennes23851027:33-628
    10Aubagne2377928:31-328
    11Villefranche24841225:34-928
    12Caen24512727:28-127
    13Paris 13 Atl24681023:32-926
    14Bourg en Bresse24561320:34-1421
    15Chateauroux243111022:32-1020
    16Quevilly Rouen24471322:35-1319
    17Stade Briochin24381325:42-1717

          Promotion ~ Ligue 2
          Promotion ~ Ligue 2 (Promotion: )
          Relegation