Yosuke Watanuki vs Elias Ymer – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
15/11/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kobe, hard - Final

Match Stats

Aces
183
Double Faults
13
1st Serve Percentage
70%56%
1st Serve Points Won
78% (42/54)67% (34/51)
2nd Serve Points Won
52% (12/23)50% (20/40)
Break Points Saved
83% (5/6)40% (2/5)
1st Return Points Won
33% (17/51)22% (12/54)
2nd Return Points Won
50% (20/40)48% (11/23)
Break Points Converted
60% (3/5)17% (1/6)
Winners
3520
Unforced Errors
3933
Net Points Won
75% (6/8)80% (8/10)
Service Points Won
70% (54/77)59% (54/91)
Return Points Won
41% (37/91)30% (23/77)
Total Points Won
54% (91/168)46% (77/168)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
92% (12/13)77% (10/13)
Return Games Won
23% (3/13)8% (1/13)
Total Games Won
58% (15/26)42% (11/26)

Chances of winning


Yosuke Watanuki
62.7%
Elias Ymer
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5% 48.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Yosuke Watanuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yosuke Watanuki's performance.
  • Elias Ymer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Elias Ymer might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yosuke Watanuki than the current prediction. (-11.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yosuke Watanuki that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elias Ymer than the current prediction. (+11.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Elias Ymer could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Yosuke Watanuki - Elias Ymer Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.51
    (1.83)

    2.48
    (1.83)
    6.8%
    (9.3%)
    What is the prediction for Yosuke Watanuki - Elias Ymer?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Watanuki will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Ymer will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Watanuki (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watanuki is ranked ATP: 182. Ymer is ranked ATP: 191.
    • Right now, both players are showing solid form.
    • Watanuki may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Watanuki won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    Latest results of Yosuke Watanuki
    Latest results of Elias Ymer
    15.11.2025 Kaichi Uchida - Elias Ymer 1:2
    12.11.2025 Elias Ymer - Renta Tokuda Tokuda R. retired
    11.11.2025 Elias Ymer - Ryan Peniston Peniston R. retired
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Tseng C. H. (1)Kuzmanov D.2 : 0
    2Chung H.Matsuda R. (WC)2 : 0
    3Barton H.Nam Ji S. (Q)2 : 1
    4Basing M. (Q)Sakamoto R. (6)1 : 2
    5Watanuki Y. (4)Bigun K. (JR)2 : 0
    6Zhukov M. (Q)Ferreira Silva F.0 : 2
    7Shimizu Y.Hsu Y. H.0 : 2
    8Marcondes I. (Q)Grenier H. (5)0 : 2
    9Crawford O. (8)Uchiyama Y.2 : 1
    10Uchida K.Takahashi Y. (Q)2 : 1
    11Leong M. W. K. (Q)Jones M.1 : 2
    12Isomura K. (WC)Shimabukuro S. (3)0 : 2
    13Ymer E. (7)Peniston R. (RET.)1 : 1
    14Taguchi R. (WC)Tokuda R.0 : 2
    15Johns G.Huesler M.0 : 2
    16Jung J. (PR)Nishioka Y. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Tseng C. H. (1)Chung H.2 : 1
    2Barton H.Sakamoto R. (6)1 : 2
    3Watanuki Y. (4)Ferreira Silva F.2 : 0
    4Hsu Y. H.Grenier H. (5)0 : 2
    5Crawford O. (8)Uchida K.1 : 2
    6Jones M.Shimabukuro S. (3)1 : 2
    7Ymer E. (7)Tokuda R. (RET.)1 : 0
    8Huesler M. (WO.)Nishioka Y. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1Tseng C. H. (1)Sakamoto R. (6)2 : 1
    2Watanuki Y. (4)Grenier H. (5)2 : 0
    3Uchida K.Shimabukuro S. (RET.) (3)1 : 1
    4Ymer E. (7)Huesler M.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Tseng C. H. (1)Watanuki Y. (4)1 : 2
    2Uchida K.Ymer E. (7)1 : 2

    Final
    1Watanuki Y. (4)Ymer E. (7)2 : 1