Nikolai Barsukov vs Daniil Ostapenkov – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
16/11/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Soma Bay - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
21
Double Faults
52
1st Serve Percentage
66%67%
1st Serve Points Won
59% (29/49)71% (35/49)
2nd Serve Points Won
44% (11/25)38% (9/24)
Break Points Saved
44% (4/9)50% (3/6)
1st Return Points Won
31% (15/49)41% (20/49)
2nd Return Points Won
63% (15/24)56% (14/25)
Break Points Converted
50% (3/6)56% (5/9)
Service Points Won
54% (40/74)60% (44/73)
Return Points Won
40% (29/73)46% (34/74)
Total Points Won
47% (69/147)53% (78/147)
Last 10 Balls
28
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
55% (6/11)73% (8/11)
Return Games Won
27% (3/11)45% (5/11)
Total Games Won
41% (9/22)59% (13/22)

Chances of winning


Nikolai Barsukov
36.2%
Daniil Ostapenkov
63.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.9% 64.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5% 65.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nikolai Barsukov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Daniil Ostapenkov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nikolai Barsukov than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniil Ostapenkov than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • Nikolai Barsukov - Daniil Ostapenkov Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.55
    (2.54)

    1.45
    (1.42)
    8.4%
    (9.8%)
    Preview Facts
    • Barsukov is ranked ATP: 1105. Ostapenkov is ranked ATP: 706.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Barsukov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Ostapenkov is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Nikolai Barsukov
    Latest results of Daniil Ostapenkov
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Clarke J. (1)Zakaria F.2 : 0
    2Sorger S.Yevseyev D.1 : 2
    3Albot R.Orlov V.2 : 0
    4Bernet H. (WC)Hussey G. (5)0 : 2
    5Erhard M. (4)Summers M. (Q)2 : 0
    6Molleker R.Fellin P. O.
    7Ursu V.Agafonov E.2 : 0
    8Vives Marcos P. (RET.)Mrva M. (7)1 : 1
    9Sels J. (6)Ouakaa A. (Q)2 : 0
    10Alkaya M. (RET.)Opitz J. (Q)0 : 0
    11Elsayed A. (WC)Robertson C. (JR)1 : 2
    12Kellovsky D. (Q)Bar Biryukov P. (3)2 : 0
    13Binda A. (8)Dzhavakian Y. (Q)2 : 0
    14Bassem Sobhy M. (WC)Basic M.2 : 1
    15Blanch D.Fajta P. (Q)0 : 2
    16Samuel T.Simakin I. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Clarke J. (1)Yevseyev D.
    2Albot R.Hussey G. (5)
    3Erhard M. (4)TBD #6
    4Ursu V.Mrva M. (7)
    5Sels J. (6)Opitz J.
    6Robertson C.Kellovsky D.
    7Binda A. (8)Bassem Sobhy M.
    8Fajta P.Samuel T.

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2